Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Mon, Jan 07, 2013 - Tue, Jan 08, 2013 | D6 | Thu, Jan 10, 2013 - Fri, Jan 11, 2013 |
| D4 | Tue, Jan 08, 2013 - Wed, Jan 09, 2013 | D7 | Fri, Jan 11, 2013 - Sat, Jan 12, 2013 |
| D5 | Wed, Jan 09, 2013 - Thu, Jan 10, 2013 | D8 | Sat, Jan 12, 2013 - Sun, Jan 13, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 052012 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0212 PM CST SAT JAN 05 2013 VALID 071200Z - 131200Z A DEEP-LAYER CLOSED LOW WILL DIG SEWD AND BECOME DISJOINTED FROM THE POLAR JET STREAM...WHICH WILL BE POSITIONED OVER THE NRN LATITUDES OF THE CONUS THROUGH LATE IN THE WEEK. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY SHIFT EWD OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY MID-WEEK. SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AMONGST MODEL GUIDANCE IN THE SPEED/TRACK OF THIS LOW...WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING WETTING RAINFALL TO MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...AND EVEN PARTS OF FAR W TX AND ERN NM. ANOTHER UPSTREAM TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE WEEK ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...WITH A RESULTANT INCREASE IN DEEP-LAYER SWLYS FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND COULD RESULT IN STRENGTHENING BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW OVER PARTS OF NM AND W TX ON FRI/D7 AND SAT/D8. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED UNCERTAINTY AND POTENTIAL FOR WET/COOL PRECEDING CONDITIONS...NO PROBABILITIES WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED ATTM. ..ROGERS.. 01/05/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT