Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Updated: Mon Jan 7 20:41:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Wed, Jan 09, 2013 - Thu, Jan 10, 2013 D6Sat, Jan 12, 2013 - Sun, Jan 13, 2013
D4Thu, Jan 10, 2013 - Fri, Jan 11, 2013 D7Sun, Jan 13, 2013 - Mon, Jan 14, 2013
D5Fri, Jan 11, 2013 - Sat, Jan 12, 2013 D8Mon, Jan 14, 2013 - Tue, Jan 15, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 072040
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 PM CST MON JAN 07 2013
   
   VALID 091200Z - 151200Z
   
   A SRN STREAM CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL TRAVERSE EWD ACROSS NWRN MX AND
   THE SWRN CONUS...AND WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TO MUCH OF THE
   SRN PLAINS ON WED/D3 AND THU/D4. IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...AN UPPER
   TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...WITH A BELT OF STRONG
   DEEP-LAYER SWLY FLOW EXTENDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CNTRL CONUS.
   WITHIN THIS REGIME...BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN ACROSS
   PARTS OF AZ/NM ON THU/D4 AND THE SRN PLAINS ON FRI/D5...BUT COOL
   TEMPERATURES AND ANTECEDENT PRECIPITATION /MAINLY ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS/ SHOULD MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 01/07/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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