Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sun, Jan 13, 2013 - Mon, Jan 14, 2013 | D6 | Wed, Jan 16, 2013 - Thu, Jan 17, 2013 |
| D4 | Mon, Jan 14, 2013 - Tue, Jan 15, 2013 | D7 | Thu, Jan 17, 2013 - Fri, Jan 18, 2013 |
| D5 | Tue, Jan 15, 2013 - Wed, Jan 16, 2013 | D8 | Fri, Jan 18, 2013 - Sat, Jan 19, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 112022 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0222 PM CST FRI JAN 11 2013 VALID 131200Z - 191200Z A LARGE...NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL COVER MUCH OF THE CONUS ON D3/SUN. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND AN ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WITHIN THE LARGE SCALE TROUGH ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY PROGRESS FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS NEWD INTO SRN QC. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS D3/SUN AND D4/MON. AS A RESULT...COOL CONDITIONS AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL BUT THE FAR SERN CONUS. BEGINNING ON D5/TUE...THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRANSITION EWD AS A LARGE ERN PACIFIC UPPER RIDGE BUILDS EWD. AS THIS OCCURS...AN AREA OF HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE OVER THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND TEMPERATURES ACROSS CA WILL GRADUALLY WARM. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON D6/WED ACROSS MUCH OF SRN CA. THESE WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH A FAVORABLE PATTERN FOR OFFSHORE WINDS MAY RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER FROM D6/WED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. UNCERTAINTY IS STILL TOO HIGH TO INTRODUCE ANY MARGINAL OR CRITICAL AREAS AT THE MOMENT BUT UPGRADES MAY BE NEEDED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. ..MOSIER.. 01/11/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT