Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Thu, Jan 17, 2013 - Fri, Jan 18, 2013 | D6 | Sun, Jan 20, 2013 - Mon, Jan 21, 2013 |
| D4 | Fri, Jan 18, 2013 - Sat, Jan 19, 2013 | D7 | Mon, Jan 21, 2013 - Tue, Jan 22, 2013 |
| D5 | Sat, Jan 19, 2013 - Sun, Jan 20, 2013 | D8 | Tue, Jan 22, 2013 - Wed, Jan 23, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 152024 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0224 PM CST TUE JAN 15 2013 VALID 171200Z - 231200Z AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE SE STATES ON D3/THU AND D4/FRI WHILE THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH REMAINS FARTHER N. THIS PRIMARY TROUGH WILL COVER THE N-CNTRL AND NERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS AND IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN LARGELY IN PLACE AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS SLOWS THE OVERALL PATTERN PROGRESSION. THE UPPER RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN THE SFC HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH BOTH FEATURES CONTRIBUTING TO GRADUAL WARMING OVER THE WRN CONUS. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS COASTAL SRN CA FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD BUT THE LACK OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT MODEST AT BEST. REGARDLESS...PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING AND ASSOCIATED POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY MAY GRADUALLY ACT TO CURE FINER FUELS AND LEAD TO SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LATE IN THE PERIOD. UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES ANY MARGINAL OR CRITICAL AREAS AT THIS TIME. ..MOSIER.. 01/15/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT