Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Fri, Jan 18, 2013 - Sat, Jan 19, 2013 | D6 | Mon, Jan 21, 2013 - Tue, Jan 22, 2013 |
| D4 | Sat, Jan 19, 2013 - Sun, Jan 20, 2013 | D7 | Tue, Jan 22, 2013 - Wed, Jan 23, 2013 |
| D5 | Sun, Jan 20, 2013 - Mon, Jan 21, 2013 | D8 | Wed, Jan 23, 2013 - Thu, Jan 24, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 162103 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0303 PM CST WED JAN 16 2013 VALID 181200Z - 241200Z THE OVERALL PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD WITH CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS WHILE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS MAINTAINED ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. THIS PATTERN FAVORS SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS WITH THE MOST PERSISTENT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR GRADUAL WARMING ACROSS THE WRN CONUS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY COLD AIR ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS. WITH THE SFC HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS COASTAL SRN CA BUT THE LACK OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SHOULD KEEP THE OVERALL INTENSITY LOW AND SPATIAL EXTENT OF THE STRONGEST WINDS ISOLATED. HOWEVER...PERSISTENT DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING AND ASSOCIATED POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY MAY GRADUALLY ACT TO CURE FINER FUELS AND LEAD TO SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LATE IN THE PERIOD. UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES ANY MARGINAL OR CRITICAL AREAS AT THIS TIME. ..MOSIER.. 01/16/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT