Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Tue, Jan 22, 2013 - Wed, Jan 23, 2013 | D6 | Fri, Jan 25, 2013 - Sat, Jan 26, 2013 |
| D4 | Wed, Jan 23, 2013 - Thu, Jan 24, 2013 | D7 | Sat, Jan 26, 2013 - Sun, Jan 27, 2013 |
| D5 | Thu, Jan 24, 2013 - Fri, Jan 25, 2013 | D8 | Sun, Jan 27, 2013 - Mon, Jan 28, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 201938 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0138 PM CST SUN JAN 20 2013 VALID 221200Z - 281200Z ...TUE/D3 - COASTAL RANGES AND FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL AID IN CONTINUED WEAK OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE COASTAL RANGES AND FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA DURING TUE MORNING. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A WARM/DRY LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS...WEAK WIND SPEEDS WILL PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF FIRE WEATHER PROBABILITIES ATTM. ...TUE/D3 - SRN GA...NRN SECTIONS OF FL AND THE PANHANDLE... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MS VALLEY WILL FAVOR NELY WINDS SUSTAINED NEAR 10 MPH OVER SRN GA INTO NRN SECTIONS OF FL AND THE PANHANDLE. WITH MIN RH VALUES FORECAST TO FALL TO AROUND 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON...LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ...WED/D4 - CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS... AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS IS FORECAST TO BREAK DOWN ON WED. AS THIS OCCURS...WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL AID IN SURFACE LEE TROUGH DEVELOPMENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. WINDS WILL LOCALLY STRENGTHEN TO 15-20 MPH...WHILE MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND A DRY ANTECEDENT AIRMASS WILL FAVOR MIN RH VALUES IN THE TEENS TO LOW 20S. THESE CONDITIONS WILL YIELD A LOCALLY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS. ...THU/D5- SRN HIGH PLAINS... MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG/AMPLIFY OVER THE CNTRL CONUS ON THU...WHILE AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SWD INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. COOL TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL LIKELY YIELD BOUNDARY LAYER HUMIDITY THAT IS UNFAVORABLE FOR ELEVATED/CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...RH VALUES IN THE TEENS AHEAD OF THE FRONT COMBINED WITH W-NWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH MAY LEAD TO A PERIOD OF NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. ...FRI/D6 THROUGH SAT/D7 - TEXAS EWD INTO THE SERN CONUS... A TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO AMPLIFY OVER THE ERN CONUS ON FRI AND SAT...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES S ACROSS TX ON FRI...AND THEN ACROSS THE SERN CONUS BY SAT. A DRY POST FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS AND NLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER TX BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS OVER THE SERN CONUS AND FL ON SAT. HOWEVER...QUESTIONABLE FUEL CONDITIONS AND INCREASINGLY MARGINAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE AN UPGRADE ATTM. ..GARNER.. 01/20/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT