Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Thu, Jan 24, 2013 - Fri, Jan 25, 2013 | D6 | Sun, Jan 27, 2013 - Mon, Jan 28, 2013 |
| D4 | Fri, Jan 25, 2013 - Sat, Jan 26, 2013 | D7 | Mon, Jan 28, 2013 - Tue, Jan 29, 2013 |
| D5 | Sat, Jan 26, 2013 - Sun, Jan 27, 2013 | D8 | Tue, Jan 29, 2013 - Wed, Jan 30, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 222143 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0343 PM CST TUE JAN 22 2013 VALID 241200Z - 301200Z THE UPPER PATTERN EARLY IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL FEATURE AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NORTHEAST BY EARLY SATURDAY. A MODERATE BELT OF H7 FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AND MAY LEAD TO AN AREA OF ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY /D3/. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA EAST OF THE ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY /D4-D5/. ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN CONUS BY SUNDAY WITH A MODIFYING AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. ALTHOUGH SPECIFIC DETAILS ARE UNCERTAIN...LATE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD --MOST PROBABLE ON MONDAY /D7/-- IT APPEARS A LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP AND STRONGER FLOW FIELDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AND BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR LOW RH/STRONG WINDS. MODEL VARIABILITY AND ASSOCIATED UNCERTAINTY PRECLUDES A HIGHER PROBABILITY AREA OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AT THIS TIME. ..SMITH.. 01/22/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT