Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Updated: Sat Jan 26 20:30:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 26, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Mon, Jan 28, 2013 - Tue, Jan 29, 2013 D6Thu, Jan 31, 2013 - Fri, Feb 01, 2013
D4Tue, Jan 29, 2013 - Wed, Jan 30, 2013 D7Fri, Feb 01, 2013 - Sat, Feb 02, 2013
D5Wed, Jan 30, 2013 - Thu, Jan 31, 2013 D8Sat, Feb 02, 2013 - Sun, Feb 03, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 262029
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0229 PM CST SAT JAN 26 2013
   
   VALID 281200Z - 031200Z
   
   AN UPPER TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE WRN U.S. IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST
   DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK.  STRONG SURFACE WINDS OVER
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THE UPPER TROUGH BUT ONLY
   A LIMITED PROBABILITY FOR CRITICAL RH.  A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
   EASTWARD FROM THE PLAINS LATE MONDAY TO THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD BY
   DAYBREAK THURSDAY.  IT IS BEHIND THE FRONT OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
   VALLEY WHERE THE JUXTAPOSITION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH IS
   POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY ACCORDING TO MEDIUM RANGE DETERMINISTIC
   MODELS.  LATER IN THE WORK WEEK...MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN
   AGREEMENT IN THE LONGITUDINAL PLACEMENT OF THE LARGE SCALE UPPER
   TROUGH AXIS FROM THE GREAT LAKES SWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY WHILE AN
   UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST OVER THE ERN PACIFIC NEAR THE WEST COAST.
   
   ..SMITH.. 01/26/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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