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Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Wed, Jan 30, 2013 - Thu, Jan 31, 2013 |
D6 | Sat, Feb 02, 2013 - Sun, Feb 03, 2013 |
| D4 | Thu, Jan 31, 2013 - Fri, Feb 01, 2013 |
D7 | Sun, Feb 03, 2013 - Mon, Feb 04, 2013 |
| D5 | Fri, Feb 01, 2013 - Sat, Feb 02, 2013 |
D8 | Mon, Feb 04, 2013 - Tue, Feb 05, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 282103
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013
VALID 301200Z - 051200Z
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MS RIVER VALLEY WILL WEAKEN EARLY IN
THE PERIOD...AND UPSTREAM SMALLER SCALE DISTURBANCES WILL ACT TO
REINFORCE THE INFLUENCE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES
AND PORTIONS OF THE ERN U.S. THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
FARTHER WEST...UPPER RIDGING WILL OCCUR OVER THE WRN U.S. IN WAKE OF
THE DEPARTING UPPER TROUGH. FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL SEEMINGLY
BE CONFINED TO PARTS OF SOUTH TX ON WEDNESDAY DURING THE EXTENDED
PERIOD.
...TX LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...
MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS AT LEAST SOME LINGERING RISK FOR LOWER RH AND
MODERATELY STRONG WINDS DURING PEAK HEATING ACROSS THIS AREA. THE
LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN DURING THE DAY AS
DEEPER MIXING COMMENCES DURING THE AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..SMITH.. 01/28/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT