Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Updated: Tue Jan 29 20:23:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 29, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Thu, Jan 31, 2013 - Fri, Feb 01, 2013 D6Sun, Feb 03, 2013 - Mon, Feb 04, 2013
D4Fri, Feb 01, 2013 - Sat, Feb 02, 2013 D7Mon, Feb 04, 2013 - Tue, Feb 05, 2013
D5Sat, Feb 02, 2013 - Sun, Feb 03, 2013 D8Tue, Feb 05, 2013 - Wed, Feb 06, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292021
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0221 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013
   
   VALID 311200Z - 061200Z
   
   A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ERN U.S. ON THURSDAY WILL BE
   MAINTAINED OVER THIS REGION THROUGH SATURDAY AS A SERIES OF SMALLER
   DISTURBANCES MOVE FROM THE N-CNTRL STATES THROUGH THE BASE OF THE
   TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE CAROLINAS/MID-ATLANTIC STATES.  ASIDE FROM
   LOW RH DURING PEAK HEATING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH FL ON
   THURSDAY...THE FOCUS FOR FIRE WEATHER FORECASTING WILL SHIFT
   WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.  MEDIUM RANGE MODEL
   GUIDANCE VARIES REGARDING THE MAGNITUDE OF A LOWER RH/WIND THREAT IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK LEE TROUGH ON FRIDAY AND
   SUNDAY.  UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE AFOREMENTIONED SCENARIOS
   PRECLUDES A LOW PROBABILITY DELINEATION FOR BOTH DAYS IN PARTS OF
   THE SRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 01/29/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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