Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Sat, Feb 02, 2013 - Sun, Feb 03, 2013 | D6 | Tue, Feb 05, 2013 - Wed, Feb 06, 2013 |
| D4 | Sun, Feb 03, 2013 - Mon, Feb 04, 2013 | D7 | Wed, Feb 06, 2013 - Thu, Feb 07, 2013 |
| D5 | Mon, Feb 04, 2013 - Tue, Feb 05, 2013 | D8 | Thu, Feb 07, 2013 - Fri, Feb 08, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 312059 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0259 PM CST THU JAN 31 2013 VALID 021200Z - 081200Z THE UPPER AIR PATTERN IS FORECAST TO DEAMPLIFY AND TRANSITION FROM A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE ERN U.S. AND UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST...TO A PROGRESSIVE AND LOWER AMPLITUDE REGIME OVER THE CONUS. WEAK LEE TROUGHING IS EXPECTED OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY /D4/ AND PERHAPS AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY /D7/. SOME ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL MAY OCCUR OVER A PORTION OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS IF AN EXAGGERATED RENDITION OF THIS SCENARIO UNFOLDS. NEVERTHELESS...MEDIUM RANGE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE BEGINS TO VARY SUBSTANTIALLY BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...PRECLUDING AN AREA/S FOR THE TIME BEING. ..SMITH.. 01/31/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT