Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Updated: Fri Feb 1 20:40:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 1, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Sun, Feb 03, 2013 - Mon, Feb 04, 2013 D6Wed, Feb 06, 2013 - Thu, Feb 07, 2013
D4Mon, Feb 04, 2013 - Tue, Feb 05, 2013 D7Thu, Feb 07, 2013 - Fri, Feb 08, 2013
D5Tue, Feb 05, 2013 - Wed, Feb 06, 2013 D8Fri, Feb 08, 2013 - Sat, Feb 09, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 012038
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0238 PM CST FRI FEB 01 2013
   
   VALID 031200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...D3/SUN - NRN FL AND THE FL PANHANDLE...
   NWLY WINDS SUSTAINED NEAR 10 MPH ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER NRN FL
   AND THE PANHANDLE IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SRN
   PLAINS. THE COMBINATION OF A DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS AND
   TEMPERATURES AROUND 60F WILL FAVOR MIN RH VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID
   30S. THESE CONDITIONS MAY YIELD AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT
   DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
   
   ...D8/FRI - SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH ADVANCING INTO THE
   SWRN CONUS ON FRI. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WINDS
   ACROSS NM AND W TX AS A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.
   HOWEVER...CRITICAL RH VALUES ARE NOT FORECAST TO OCCUR WHERE WIND
   SPEEDS ARE STRONG. THUS...FIRE WEATHER PROBABILITIES WILL NOT BE
   ASSIGNED ATTM.
   
   ..GARNER.. 02/01/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT