Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Updated: Fri Feb 8 21:29:02 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 8, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Sun, Feb 10, 2013 - Mon, Feb 11, 2013 D6Wed, Feb 13, 2013 - Thu, Feb 14, 2013
D4Mon, Feb 11, 2013 - Tue, Feb 12, 2013 D7Thu, Feb 14, 2013 - Fri, Feb 15, 2013
D5Tue, Feb 12, 2013 - Wed, Feb 13, 2013 D8Fri, Feb 15, 2013 - Sat, Feb 16, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082127
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2013
   
   VALID 101200Z - 161200Z
   
   ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...A SURFACE AND UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL
   U.S. WILL LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH DIGS
   INTO THE SW AND THEN INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. BY MID WEEK.  AS THE
   ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD ON SUNDAY...COOLER AND DRIER
   AIR WILL SPREAD OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF
   OF TEXAS.  
   
   ON SUNDAY/DY3...A MARGINAL AREA OVER SW OKLAHOMA AND MUCH OF
   WRN/SWRN TX IS EXPECTED WITH MODERATELY STRONG WLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25
   MPH AND LOWEST HUMIDITY FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE
   COOL TO MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.  AT THIS TIME...IT
   APPEARS THAT THE MAX WIND SPEEDS WILL BE IN THE NRN PTN OF THIS AREA
   WITH A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT WHILE THE LOWER HUMIDITY AND
   SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE ACROSS THE SRN PTN. 
   ALSO...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY...THUS WILL NOT CALL FOR A CRITICAL AREA AT
   THIS TIME. 
   
   FOR MONDAY/DY4...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER SERN NM
   AND SW TX AND HAVE OUTLOOKED A MARGINAL AREA FOR MONDAY.  WLY WINDS
   ARE EXPECTED AT 10 TO 20 MPH AND HUMIDITY WILL BE 10 TO 15 PERCENT
   WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 50S. 
   
   AFTER MONDAY...COOLER CONDITIONS AND THE CHANCE OF SOME
   PRECIPITATION WITH THE DEVELOPING CNTRL U.S. STORM SYSTEM WILL
   REDUCE ANY LARGE SCALE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 02/08/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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