Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Updated: Sun Feb 10 20:33:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 10, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Tue, Feb 12, 2013 - Wed, Feb 13, 2013 D6Fri, Feb 15, 2013 - Sat, Feb 16, 2013
D4Wed, Feb 13, 2013 - Thu, Feb 14, 2013 D7Sat, Feb 16, 2013 - Sun, Feb 17, 2013
D5Thu, Feb 14, 2013 - Fri, Feb 15, 2013 D8Sun, Feb 17, 2013 - Mon, Feb 18, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 102031
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0231 PM CST SUN FEB 10 2013
   
   VALID 121200Z - 181200Z
   
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE CENTRAL AND
   EASTERN U.S. AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS JUST OFF THE WEST COAST. 
   SEVERAL SURGES OF COLD AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN TWO-THIRDS OF
   THE COUNTRY.  
   
   ...PTNS SW TX AND EXTRM SE NM FOR TUESDAY/DAY 3...
   ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SW TX AND THE
   EXTRM SE PTN OF NM AS WLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
   HUMIDITY FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL TO MILD
   HOWEVER WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S.  
   
   ...PTNS SRN CA...
   SOME WARMING AND DRYING WILL TAKE PLACE DURING THE WEEK OVER SRN CA
   AND BY THE END OF THE WEEK...OFFSHORE WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN...HOWEVER
   MOST FUELS REMAIN MOIST AT THIS TIME.
   
   OTHERWISE...NO LARGE SCALE FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ..BOTHWELL.. 02/10/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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