Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Updated: Sun Feb 24 20:24:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


D3Tue, Feb 26, 2013 - Wed, Feb 27, 2013 D6Fri, Mar 01, 2013 - Sat, Mar 02, 2013
D4Wed, Feb 27, 2013 - Thu, Feb 28, 2013 D7Sat, Mar 02, 2013 - Sun, Mar 03, 2013
D5Thu, Feb 28, 2013 - Fri, Mar 01, 2013 D8Sun, Mar 03, 2013 - Mon, Mar 04, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 242023
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0223 PM CST SUN FEB 24 2013
   
   VALID 261200Z - 041200Z
   
   A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL EVOLVE OVER NORTH AMERICA AS A CUTOFF LOW
   BECOMES QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR THE UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY BY MID-WEEK.
   SRN BRANCH OF STRONG MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE POSITIONED FROM
   THE SOUTHWEST AND ACROSS THE GULF COAST. A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL
   PASS THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS ON WED/D4...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SFC COLD
   FRONT MOVING THROUGH TX/WRN GULF COAST. DRY POST-FRONTAL AIR AND
   INCREASING WIND SPEEDS COULD RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS ACROSS PARTS OF S TX ON WED/D4. LATER IN THE WEEK...THE
   LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL BE DOMINATED BY A RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE
   PACIFIC COAST AND A TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A
   GENERALLY COOL/DRY PATTERN E OF THE ROCKIES...WITH LOW FIRE WEATHER
   POTENTIAL ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 02/24/2013
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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