Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| D3 | Wed, Feb 27, 2013 - Thu, Feb 28, 2013 | D6 | Sat, Mar 02, 2013 - Sun, Mar 03, 2013 |
| D4 | Thu, Feb 28, 2013 - Fri, Mar 01, 2013 | D7 | Sun, Mar 03, 2013 - Mon, Mar 04, 2013 |
| D5 | Fri, Mar 01, 2013 - Sat, Mar 02, 2013 | D8 | Mon, Mar 04, 2013 - Tue, Mar 05, 2013 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 252042 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0242 PM CST MON FEB 25 2013 VALID 271200Z - 051200Z THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR A RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS AND A TROUGH E OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL REINFORCE GENERALLY COOL/DRY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE CNTRL CONUS. EPISODIC INCREASES IN BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS MAY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS...ALONG WITH PERIODS OF OFFSHORE WINDS OVER SRN CA. HOWEVER...POOR CONSISTENCY BETWEEN MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL SOLUTIONS PRECLUDES INTRODUCTION OF PROBABILITIES BEYOND WED/D3. ...WED/D3 -- S TX... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH S TX EARLY WED...REINFORCING A COOL/DRY AIR MASS ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE TX PANHANDLE WILL SUPPORT INCREASING WIND SPEEDS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AND MAY RESULT IN AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY IN S TX. HOWEVER...CURRENT GUIDANCE INDICATES SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. ...WED/D3 THROUGH SAT/D6 -- SRN CA... PERIODIC WEAK TO MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A PERSISTENT AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT BASIN. ALTHOUGH MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WEAK IN THE PRESENCE OF RIDGING...LOCALLY STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES. ADDITIONALLY...WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY TROPOSPHERIC AIR WILL SUPPORT LOW RH VALUES. HOWEVER...RECENT RAINFALL OVER THE REGION MAY TEMPER THE THREAT FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD...PRECLUDING THE INTRODUCTION OF MARGINAL PROBABILITIES ATTM. ..ROGERS.. 02/25/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT