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D3 | Fri, Jul 29, 2016 - Sat, Jul 30, 2016 | D6 | Mon, Aug 01, 2016 - Tue, Aug 02, 2016 |
D4 | Sat, Jul 30, 2016 - Sun, Jul 31, 2016 | D7 | Tue, Aug 02, 2016 - Wed, Aug 03, 2016 |
D5 | Sun, Jul 31, 2016 - Mon, Aug 01, 2016 | D8 | Wed, Aug 03, 2016 - Thu, Aug 04, 2016 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 272054 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0354 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016 VALID 291200Z - 041200Z MID-LEVEL RIDGING INITIALLY ANCHORED OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EASTWARDS TOWARDS THE PLAINS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. RELATED TO THIS RIDGE BREAKDOWN...CYCLONIC FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...BRINGING STRONGER WEST/SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW TO THE REGION. ...D3/FRI-D7/TUE -- GREAT BASIN/PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES... WITH MOISTURE SLOWLY SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN THIS WEEKEND...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL ALSO ADVANCE NORTH ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS WEEK INTO THIS WEEKEND. WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED IN THE AFOREMENTIONED CYCLONIC FLOW WILL ALSO AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS WEEKEND. ONGOING HOT/DRY CONDITIONS WILL ONLY FURTHER BOOST FUEL RECEPTIVENESS...INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING-INDUCED FIRE STARTS. FAVORABLE PW VALUES AND LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL ENCOURAGE A DRY-LIGHTNING THREAT...AND THE ONGOING 10-PERCENT AREAS ARE MAINTAINED WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. INCREASING WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL OVERSPREAD DRY AIR SITUATED ACROSS THE INTERIOR PAC NW...NORTHERN GREAT BASIN...AND NORTHERN ROCKIES TO ENHANCE THE FIRE-WEATHER THREAT THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. SUCH CONDITIONS WILL FURTHER EXACERBATE FIRE CONCERNS FOLLOWING PERIODS OF DRY-THUNDER ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION. THE 40-PERCENT AREAS ARE MAINTAINED WITH MINOR ADJUSTMENTS...AND PORTIONS OF THE COLUMBIA BASIN/GORGE MAY REQUIRE AN UPGRADE TO 70-PERCENT CRITICAL IN LATER FORECASTS. ADDITIONALLY...DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE DEPICTS A PERSISTENCE OF BREEZY/DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS ID ON D7/TUE...AND A 40-PERCENT AREA IS ADDED ACCORDINGLY. ..PICCA.. 07/27/2016 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT