Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Updated: Fri Dec 29 21:24:03 UTC 2017

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Dec 29, 2017

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Dec 31, 2017 - Mon, Jan 01, 2018 D6Wed, Jan 03, 2018 - Thu, Jan 04, 2018
D4Mon, Jan 01, 2018 - Tue, Jan 02, 2018 D7Thu, Jan 04, 2018 - Fri, Jan 05, 2018
D5Tue, Jan 02, 2018 - Wed, Jan 03, 2018 D8Fri, Jan 05, 2018 - Sat, Jan 06, 2018
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292122

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0322 PM CST Fri Dec 29 2017

   Valid 311200Z - 061200Z

   Cold arctic airmass will likely be in place at the beginning of the
   period -- 12Z Sunday -- east of the Rockies. Intense surface high
   pressure associated with this airmass will gradually slide
   southeastward, reaching the southern Plains/lower MS valley by
   D6/Wednesday. As a result, well below-average temperatures are
   expected across the central and eastern CONUS and no fire weather
   conditions are anticipated.

   Upper pattern west of the Rockies will be predominately
   characterized by ridging until a shortwave trough moves into central
   CA late D6/Wednesday or early D7/Thursday. Near-average temperatures
   are expected and current guidance suggests the offshore gradient
   will likely remain relaxed enough to preclude any critical fire
   weather conditions.

   ..Mosier.. 12/29/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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