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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Sep 26, 2016
Updated: Mon Sep 26 20:02:03 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Wed, Sep 28, 2016 - Thu, Sep 29, 2016 D6Sat, Oct 01, 2016 - Sun, Oct 02, 2016
D4Thu, Sep 29, 2016 - Fri, Sep 30, 2016 D7Sun, Oct 02, 2016 - Mon, Oct 03, 2016
D5Fri, Sep 30, 2016 - Sat, Oct 01, 2016 D8Mon, Oct 03, 2016 - Tue, Oct 04, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 262000

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 PM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

   VALID 281200Z - 041200Z

   AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DROP SEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY ON
   D3/WED AND INTO THE TN VALLEY ON D4/THU WHILE RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS
   THE PLAINS. UPPER LOW OVER SRN CA ON D3/WED WILL GRADUALLY DRIFT
   NEWD WHILE TRANSITIONING TO AN OPEN WAVE. ERN CONUS UPPER LOW WILL
   REMAIN LARGELY IN PLACE THROUGH D5/FRI WHILE A DEEP SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   MOVES INTO THE NRN CA/PACIFIC NW. ENHANCED SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
   SHORTWAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GUSTY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN
   CA...NWRN NV AND SWRN ORE. THESE WINDS WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO A
   DEEPLY MIXED AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WITH RH VALUES LIKELY BELOW 20
   PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER THREAT MAY RESULT AND A 40-PERCENT
   DELINEATION HAS BEEN INTRODUCED ACROSS THE REGION.

   PACIFIC NW/NRN CA SHORTWAVE WILL CONTINUE NEWD THROUGH THE NRN
   ROCKIES ON D6/SAT. RECENT GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO A LITTLE BETTER
   AGREEMENT REGARDING THE PROGRESSION OF ANOTHER STRONG SHORTWAVE OVER
   THE NRN/CNTRL W COAST LATE THIS WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT WOULD LIKELY RESULT IF THIS SCENARIO IS REALIZED BUT
   CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY TOO LOW TO OUTLOOK ANY AREAS AFTER D5/FRI.

   ..MOSIER.. 09/26/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: September 26, 2016
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