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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Aug 20, 2014
Updated: Wed Aug 20 20:26:04 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Fri, Aug 22, 2014 - Sat, Aug 23, 2014 D6Mon, Aug 25, 2014 - Tue, Aug 26, 2014
D4Sat, Aug 23, 2014 - Sun, Aug 24, 2014 D7Tue, Aug 26, 2014 - Wed, Aug 27, 2014
D5Sun, Aug 24, 2014 - Mon, Aug 25, 2014 D8Wed, Aug 27, 2014 - Thu, Aug 28, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 202024

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0324 PM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

   VALID 221200Z - 281200Z

   AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON FRIDAY /D3/...THE
   UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A TROUGH OVER THE WRN
   CONUS AND A RIDGE OVER THE ERN CONUS.  ON SATURDAY /D4/...THE WRN
   CONUS TROUGH /AND ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM THREAT/ IS EXPECTED TO
   SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES BEGIN
   TO DIFFER IN THE EVOLUTION OF THE TROUGH AFTER SATURDAY /D4/ WITH AN
   EVENTUAL EWD SHIFT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
   TOWARD THE WEST COAST.  OVERALL...A DRIER AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF THE
   TROUGH WILL GENERALLY RESULT IN REDUCED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL FOR
   MUCH OF THE WEST.  IN ADDITION...THE PROBABILITY OF STRONG WINDS
   /AOA 20 MPH/ IN CONCURRENCE WITH CRITICAL RH VALUES APPEARS
   RELATIVELY LOW DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD ACROSS THE
   CONUS...SUGGESTING LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.

   ..JIRAK.. 08/20/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: August 20, 2014
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