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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Jul 27, 2014
Updated: Sun Jul 27 20:29:04 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Tue, Jul 29, 2014 - Wed, Jul 30, 2014 D6Fri, Aug 01, 2014 - Sat, Aug 02, 2014
D4Wed, Jul 30, 2014 - Thu, Jul 31, 2014 D7Sat, Aug 02, 2014 - Sun, Aug 03, 2014
D5Thu, Jul 31, 2014 - Fri, Aug 01, 2014 D8Sun, Aug 03, 2014 - Mon, Aug 04, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 272027

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 PM CDT SUN JUL 27 2014

   VALID 291200Z - 041200Z

   SWLY FLOW ALOFT ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF A HIGH-AMPLITUDE WRN-CONUS
   RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN ENHANCED MID-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   NWRN CONUS. THIS IS WHERE OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS AND GENERALLY
   MINOR DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW WILL SUPPORT OCCASIONAL
   THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE
   DRY...WITH LIGHTNING-INDUCED IGNITIONS POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...
   MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SOLUTIONS OFFER LITTLE CONFIDENCE THAT
   SUBSTANTIAL PERTURBATIONS ALOFT WILL ENHANCE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
   IN AREAS WHERE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WOULD SUPPORT A
   DRY-THUNDERSTORM MODE. ADDITIONALLY...RELATIVELY LIMITED STORM
   MOTIONS AND PW VALUES OVER 0.75 INCH COULD SUPPORT STORMS WITH
   WETTING RAINS IN MANY AREAS. AS SUCH...PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS
   HAVE NOT BEEN INCLUDED AT THIS TIME FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
   OTHERWISE...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OWING TO THE OVERLAP OF
   LOW RH AND STRONG WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

   ..COHEN.. 07/27/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: July 27, 2014
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