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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Oct 19, 2014
Updated: Sun Oct 19 21:49:02 UTC 2014  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical). Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD), Public Information Notice (PNS), and provide feedback using this link: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=DTFWO. The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing, revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production.
Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
D3-8 FW Categorical D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Prob. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Tue, Oct 21, 2014 - Wed, Oct 22, 2014 D6Fri, Oct 24, 2014 - Sat, Oct 25, 2014
D4Wed, Oct 22, 2014 - Thu, Oct 23, 2014 D7Sat, Oct 25, 2014 - Sun, Oct 26, 2014
D5Thu, Oct 23, 2014 - Fri, Oct 24, 2014 D8Sun, Oct 26, 2014 - Mon, Oct 27, 2014
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 192148

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0448 PM CDT SUN OCT 19 2014

   VALID 211200Z - 271200Z

   ...COASTAL RANGES AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS OF SRN CA --
   D4/WED-D5/THU...
   SOME INCREASE IN SFC WINDS MAY OCCUR...AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   LOCALLY/MODESTLY TIGHTENS TO THE SW OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
   OVER PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL GREAT BASIN IN THE WAKE OF A MID-LEVEL
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH. RELATIVELY LOW RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED EACH
   DAY...AS DOWNSLOPE-FLOW-ENHANCED WARMING/DRYING OCCUR. WITH DRY
   FUELS IN PLACE...MARGINALLY/SPOTTY ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   CANNOT BE RULED OUT. HOWEVER...MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE DOES NOT
   INDICATE THAT THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME SUFFICIENTLY
   TIGHT TO SUPPORT STRONG WINDS...PREVENTING THE INCLUSION OF
   PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS.

   ..COHEN.. 10/19/2014

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: October 19, 2014
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