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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Feb 8, 2016
Updated: Mon Feb 8 21:18:03 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Wed, Feb 10, 2016 - Thu, Feb 11, 2016 D6Sat, Feb 13, 2016 - Sun, Feb 14, 2016
D4Thu, Feb 11, 2016 - Fri, Feb 12, 2016 D7Sun, Feb 14, 2016 - Mon, Feb 15, 2016
D5Fri, Feb 12, 2016 - Sat, Feb 13, 2016 D8Mon, Feb 15, 2016 - Tue, Feb 16, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 082116

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 PM CST MON FEB 08 2016

   VALID 101200Z - 161200Z

   AMPLIFIED WRN CONUS RIDGE/ERN CONUS TROUGH UPPER PATTERN WILL
   PERSIST THROUGH D5/FRI WHILE UNDERGOING GRADUAL DEAMPLIFICATION. A
   TRANSITION TO A MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN APPEARS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND
   WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO MOVE FROM THE PACIFIC NW INTO
   THE CNTRL PLAINS. 

   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   PERSISTENT NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL FAVOR WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS 
   ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL AT LEAST D6/SAT. DURING THIS PERIOD...HIGH
   TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 60S TO UPPER 70S /10-20 DEGREES
   ABOVE AVERAGE/ WITH MIN RH VALUES LIKELY DROPPING BELOW 20 PERCENT.
   THE WARMEST DAY WILL LIKELY BE D3/WED WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
   REACH THE MID TO UPPER 70S...SUPPORTING MIN RH VALUES APPROACHING 10
   PERCENT /LOCALLY LOWER/. QUASI-STATIONARY UPPER PATTERN WILL KEEP
   THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT NORTH OF THE REGION. AS A RESULT...BREEZY
   CONDITIONS WILL BE DRIVEN BY THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT...WHICH
   CONTINUES SHOW MODEL-TO-MODEL VARIABILITY WITHIN THE GUIDANCE.
   CONFIDENCE IN A FIRE WEATHER THREAT REMAINS HIGH ENOUGH TO CONTINUE
   40-PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR D3/WED BUT INCREASING UNCERTAINTY AFTER
   D3/WED CURRENTLY PRECLUDES THE INTRODUCTION OF ANY OTHER THREAT
   AREAS WITH THIS FORECAST.

   ..MOSIER.. 02/08/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: February 08, 2016
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