Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in
PDF. Note: Starting June 25, 2013, the SPC will issue Experimental Dry Thunderstorm Fire
Weather Outlooks for Days 4 through 8 with individual web graphics.
Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Day 3-8 Fire Weather Categorical Outlooks (D3-8 FW Categorical).
Scalloped areas (in Day3-8 graphics)/dashed areas (in individual day graphics) will indicate areas where the combination
of numerous cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, generally less than one-tenth inch of rain and dry fuels are forecast.
Please read the Product Description Document (PDD),
Public Information Notice (PNS),
and provide feedback using this link:
The experiment will end on July 30, 2013 and a decision will be made whether to proceed with testing,
revise the test, or continue on the path to operational production. Note: Starting on June 5, 2012 to January 30, 2013, SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic
Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Day 3 to 8 with individual web graphics.
Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind)
Fire Weather Outlooks.
Please read the
Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link:
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 112052
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT TUE MAR 11 2014
VALID 131200Z - 191200Z
MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A PROGRESSIVE FLOW
PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD OVER THE LOWER 48 STATES. FIRE
WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL PROBABLY FOCUS INITIALLY OVER PARTS OF THE
SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS STATES AS A SURFACE LOW/LEE TROUGH DEVELOP OVER
THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AND LEAD TO A STRENGTHENING WIND FIELD TO THE
EAST/SOUTH OF THE LOW. MODELS VARY REGARDING THE PLACEMENT OF THE
UPPER DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES EWD FROM THE FOUR CORNERS TO THE RED
RIVER VALLEY BUT SOME THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS/LOW RH MAY BE REALIZED
OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS ON FRIDAY. BY THIS WEEKEND...A DISTURBANCE
FORECAST OVER THE PACIFIC NW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE LARGER-SCALE TROUGH E OF THE ROCKIES. AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR OFFSHORE WINDS OVER SRN CA APPEARS PLAUSIBLE. FOR THE
TIME BEING...WILL MAINTAIN LOWER TIER PROBABILITIES IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD TO ADDRESS EACH POSSIBLE SCENARIO UNTIL HIGHER CONFIDENCE IS
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT