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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Aug 25, 2016
Updated: Thu Aug 25 19:56:02 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sat, Aug 27, 2016 - Sun, Aug 28, 2016 D6Tue, Aug 30, 2016 - Wed, Aug 31, 2016
D4Sun, Aug 28, 2016 - Mon, Aug 29, 2016 D7Wed, Aug 31, 2016 - Thu, Sep 01, 2016
D5Mon, Aug 29, 2016 - Tue, Aug 30, 2016 D8Thu, Sep 01, 2016 - Fri, Sep 02, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 251954

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0254 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

   VALID 271200Z - 021200Z

   UPPER TROUGHING INITIALLY OVER THE NRN PLAINS WILL TRANSLATE EWD TO
   THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/SRN ONTARIO REGION ON D3/SAT...WHILE AN
   UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH ATTENDANT ENHANCED MID-LEVEL WINDS
   WILL MOVE OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. FROM D4/SUN THROUGH
   THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...UPPER RIDGING SHOULD BUILD ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...WITH LARGE-SCALE TROUGHING DEVELOPING
   OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND PARTS OF THE WRN CONUS. WITH THE EXCEPTION
   OF D3/SAT ACROSS PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...CONFIDENCE IN THE
   EVOLUTION OF THE SYNOPTIC-SCALE UPPER PATTERN AND RESULTANT
   STRONG/GUSTY LOW-LEVEL WIND POTENTIAL ACROSS THE WRN CONUS IS
   CURRENTLY TOO LOW TO DELINEATE ANY AREAS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.

   ...D3/SAT: PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
   AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVER THIS REGION ON D3/SAT...A DRY COLD
   FRONT IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE CASCADES AND COLUMBIA
   BASIN. STRONG/GUSTY LOW-LEVEL WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT APPEAR
   PROBABLE...AND DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING IN THE LEE OF THE CASCADES
   SHOULD ALLOW RH VALUES TO APPROACH CRITICALLY LOWERED VALUES IN THE
   PRESENCE OF DRY FUELS. WITH BETTER AGREEMENT BETWEEN VARIOUS MODEL
   GUIDANCE REGARDING THIS SCENARIO...HAVE OPTED TO INTRODUCE A 40
   PERCENT/MARGINAL AREA FOR PORTIONS OF ERN WA/ORE FOR D3/SAT. AT THIS
   TIME...THE FORECAST BRIEF OVERLAP OF LOWERED RH VALUES WITH
   STRONG/GUSTY WINDS PRECLUDES HIGHER /70 PERCENT/ PROBABILITIES.

   ..GLEASON.. 08/25/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: August 25, 2016
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