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< Day 2 FW Outlook    
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Issued on Apr 29, 2016
Updated: Fri Apr 29 19:51:02 UTC 2016  (Print Version)
Note: Fire weather probabilistic information in MS-Word or PDF.
Note: Through September 29, 2015 the SPC will issue Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Dry Thunder and Strong Wind Outlooks for Days 3 to 8 with individual web graphics. Mouse over or click on the tabs above the graphic to view daily Probabilistic Dry Thunder (DryT) and Strong Wind (Wind) Fire Weather Outlooks. Please read the Product Description Document (PDD) and provide feedback using this link: "http://www.weather.gov/survey/nws-survey.php?code=spc38firewx.
Categorical D3-8 FW Otlk D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Exp. DryT/LowRH/Wind D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
Population Cities CWAs Interstates Counties FEMA Regions

Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, May 01, 2016 - Mon, May 02, 2016 D6Wed, May 04, 2016 - Thu, May 05, 2016
D4Mon, May 02, 2016 - Tue, May 03, 2016 D7Thu, May 05, 2016 - Fri, May 06, 2016
D5Tue, May 03, 2016 - Wed, May 04, 2016 D8Fri, May 06, 2016 - Sat, May 07, 2016
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 291949

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0249 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

   VALID 011200Z - 071200Z

   THE FIRE-WEATHER RISK COULD BECOME ENHANCED FOR D7/THU AND D8/FRI
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SWRN CONUS...AS MEDIUM-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE
   INDICATES SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TROPOSPHERIC FLOW TO OVERSPREAD
   ANTECEDENT DRY BOUNDARY-LAYER CONDITIONS. THIS WOULD BE IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ONSHORE ALONG
   THE PACIFIC COAST LATE NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES AMONG MODEL
   SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED
   CORRIDORS OF ENHANCED SFC WINDS YIELD CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
   REGARDING THE CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL...PRECLUDING
   PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS.

   OTHERWISE...LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN GENERALLY
   MODEST OVER AREAS OF DRY SFC CONDITIONS RELEGATED TO THE SWRN
   CONUS...FROM D3/SUN THROUGH D6/WED. THIS WILL PRECLUDE CRITICAL
   FIRE-WEATHER POTENTIAL. ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD
   AFFECT PARTS OF SWRN NM ON D3/SUN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TRAILING
   SEGMENT OF A MID-LEVEL WIND-SPEED MAXIMUM...THOUGH CRITICAL
   CONDITIONS ARE UNLIKELY.

   ..COHEN.. 04/29/2016

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT
      
Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info | Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)

To retrieve previous Day 3-8 FireWX outlooks, type in the date you wish to retrieve in YYMMDD (e.g., 060205 for Feb. 5, 2006).
Data available since January 1, 2006.
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Page last modified: April 29, 2016
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