Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 030849
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   400 AM CDT WED JUL 03 2002
     
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
   VALID 031200-041200
     
   ...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER MUCH OF THE WEST WILL DECREASE FIRE
   THREAT TODAY...BUT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SCATTERED
   OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES.  BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER
   THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AS LEE-SIDE LOW DEVELOPS OVER MT...WITH MOSTLY
   WET BUT ELECTRICALLY ACTIVE STORM COMPLEX POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE
   EVENING INTO SERN MT.  
     
   ...ERN UT / WRN CO / NRN AZ / WRN NM...
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY BY AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE FOUR
   CORNERS AREA...AS WEAK UPPER TROUGH MOVED EWD.  MID AND HIGH LEVEL
   MOISTURE IS ALREADY IN PLACE...SO EXPECT THUNDER TO BE A LITTLE
   MORE WIDESPREAD THAN ON TUESDAY.  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE
   MARGINAL FOR DRY THUNDER BETWEEN 0.50 AND 0.75 INCHES.  SLOW STORM
   MOTIONS WILL INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD OF A WETTING RAIN...ALTHOUGH
   SUB CLOUD LAYER WILL BE DRY THEREFORE LIMITING WETTING RAINS TO
   THOSE STORMS WHICH ARE RELATIVELY LARGE AND/OR SLOW MOVING.  IN
   GENERAL...THERE WILL BE A MIXTURE OF BOTH DRY AND WET STORMS
   TODAY...WITH MOST STORMS FORMING OVER THE MTNS.  GIVEN EXTREMELY
   DRY FUEL CONDITIONS...THREAT FOR NEW STARTS WILL STILL EXIST.  THE
   INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL MAKE FOR MOSTLY MODERATE HAINES INDICES
   TODAY AS LAPSE RATES REMAIN STEEP IN THE MID LEVELS. 
   
   ...ERN WY / WRN DAKOTAS / SERN MT...
   AS A LEE-SIDE SURFACE TROUGH STRENGTHENS DURING THE DAY...SELY
   SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20-25 MPH.  ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES
   WILL BE IN THE 90S F...THESE WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE VALUES...SO THAT MIN RH DOES NOT DROP TO CRITICAL LEVELS. 
   THE LOWEST VALUES WILL BE IN MT AND WY WHERE MIN RH WILL DIP NEAR
   25 PERCENT...WHILE VALUES OF 25-30 PERCENT INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS. 
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/03/02
     
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
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Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 030906
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   500 AM CDT WED JUL 03 2002
     
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
   VALID 041200-051200
     
   ...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   MID AND UPPER MOISTURE WHICH HAS MOVED INTO THE WRN U.S. WILL
   CONTINUE TO PUT A DAMPER ON THE FIRE THREAT...BUT ENOUGH MOISTURE
   WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER
   SRN UT AND INTO CO AND NM.  MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL BE UNDER AN
   UPPER RIDGE.  IT WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY WARM AND DRY...WITH
   AFTERNOON BREEZES OVER THE DESERT SW AND THE GREAT BASIN.  SELY
   FLOW THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES WILL KEEP MOISTURE LEVELS RELATIVELY
   HIGH INTO THE HIGH PLAINS.  
     
   ..JEWELL.. 07/03/02
      
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
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