Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
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FNUS21 KWNS 040815
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
400 AM CDT SUN AUG 04 2002
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
VALID 041200-051200
...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE W COAST...MAKING FOR COOLER
CONDITIONS INTO WA AND OREGON...AS WELL AS NRN ID. HOT AND DRY AIR
WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO SRN CA WITH LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS. A FEW DRY STORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO ERN ID.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY INTO MT...BUT MOST WILL
BE WET IN NATURE. AREAS NEAR THE SRN APPALACHIANS WILL EXPERIENCE
MARGINALLY LOW RH VALUES UNDER UPPER RIDGE.
...SRN NV / WRN UT...
AFTERNOON SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN AS UPPER TROUGH REMAINS TO THE WEST OF THE
AREA. AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 10-15
PERCENT...WHILE HAINES INDICES INCREASE TO MDT AND LOCALLY HIGH
CATEGORIES BY LATE AFTERNOON. COMBINATION OF DRY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN AVERAGE WIND SPEEDS WILL CAUSE
LOCALLY HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
...ERN ID / EXTREME WRN MT...
A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER NRN NV WILL MOVE NEWD.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED TO PERHAPS WIDELY
SCATTERED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH ADDITION OF DAYTIME HEATING.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL AVERAGE 0.50-0.60 INCHES...THEREFORE
LITTLE RAIN IS EXPECTED.
...WY...
PLUME OF HOT DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO WRN WY DURING THE DAY...MAKING
FOR LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH WINDS GENERALLY NEAR 15 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...ALONG WITH MIN RH NEAR 15 PERCENT. HAINES INDICES
WILL BE IN THE MDT TO HIGH CATEGORIES.
..JEWELL.. 08/04/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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FNUS22 KWNS 040853
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT SUN AUG 04 2002
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
VALID 051200-061200
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR - CENTRAL AND ERN GREAT BASIN...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL NOT MOVE MUCH THROUGH DAY
TWO...WITH AXIS REMAINING ALONG THE W COAST OF THE U.S. WINDS
ALOFT WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. LARGE UPPER RIDGE
WILL SIT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S...WHILE A CANADIAN COLD FRONT PLOWS
SWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA # 1 - CENTRAL AND ERN GREAT BASIN...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY SWLY WINDS / LOW RH / MDT TO HIGH HAINES
WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
DAY...AS UPPER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH STRENGTHEN. SWLY
WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME WILL AVERAGE 20-25 MPH AND GUSTY...WITH
LOCAL SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 25-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. MIN RH WILL AVERAGE 10-15 PERCENT. THE DRY AIR WILL
COMBINE WITH AN UNSTABLE AFTERNOON ATMOSPHERE TO PRODUCE HAINES
INDICES OF MDT(5) TO HIGH (6).
..JEWELL.. 08/04/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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