Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
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FNUS21 KWNS 060743
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 06 2002
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
VALID 061200-071200
...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE NWRN U.S...BUT WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL MEAN A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WINDS OVER
MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN...BUT A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN.
LARGE UPPER RIDGE WILL HOLD OVER THE CENTRAL U.S...WHILE AN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SWD OVER THE ERN
HALF OF THE COUNTRY...BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON NLY
WINDS.
...ERN GREAT BASIN...
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAKENING UPPER TROUGH WILL BE WEAKER
THAN ON MONDAY...BUT STILL STRONG ENOUGH TO POSE A HAZARD GIVEN THE
DRY AIR IN PLACE. WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND BY
AFTERNOON REACH SUSTAINED SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HIGHER TERRAIN WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS CLOSER TO 20
MPH AND GUSTY. RH VALUES WILL REMAIN LOW AT 10-15 PERCENT IN
GENERAL. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE TODAY...WITH
HAINES INDICES OF 4 TO 5.
...CENTRAL / SRN CA...
VERY DRY AIR WILL ARRIVE FROM THE SW TODAY AND COMBINE WITH HOT
TEMPERATURES TO PRODUCE AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. AS A RESULT FIRE
DANGERS WILL REMAIN VERY HIGH. LARGE SCALE WINDS WILL BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT HOWEVER...AVERAGING 10-15 MPH MOST PLACES.
..JEWELL.. 08/06/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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FNUS22 KWNS 060743
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
500 AM CDT TUE AUG 06 2002
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
VALID 071200-081200
...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
...SYNOPSIS...
NWRN U.S. TROUGH WILL SLIDE SLOWLY EWD INTO MT BY THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL ALLOW HOT DRY AIR TO RETURN NWD INTO CA. AIRMASS WILL
REMAIN VERY DRY AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE FROM WY SW THROUGH THE
GREAT BASIN AND INTO CA. WINDS THROUGH THIS REGION WILL CONTINUE
TO DECREASE AS UPPER TROUGH WEAKENS. LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE ERN U.S. WILL MAKE FOR MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS.
...CA / GREAT BASIN / SRN ID / WRN WY...
VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE GREAT BASIN. SWLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO FEED THIS AIR INTO WY AS WELL...WHILE HOT DRY AIR MAKES
A RETURN TO NRN CA. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE MORE UNSTABLE WED
COMPARED TO TUE...WITH HAINES INDICES REACHING THE HIGH (6)
CATEGORY IN PLACES...FROM SOUTH CENTRAL CA NEWD THROUGH
NV...UT...AND WRN WY. AFTERNOON SWLY BREEZES OF 10-15 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED...WHILE MIN RH DROPS BELOW 10 PERCENT
IN SPOTS.
...VA / CAROLINAS / GA...
THE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEAN LOW RH FOR THIS REGION. MIN
RH VALUES NEAR 30 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY LOWER VALUES.
LIGHT WINDS AND SOME RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL MITIGATE FIRE
THREAT...ALTHOUGH EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT CONDITIONS AND GOOD DAYTIME
DRYING CONDITIONS SUGGEST AN INCREASING THREAT WITH TIME.
..JEWELL.. 08/06/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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