Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 020913
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   400 AM CDT WED OCT 02 2002
     
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
   VALID 021200-031200
     
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR - NRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   A DEEP UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WEST WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO MOVE EAST
   BY THURSDAY. THE MAIN UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS SRN NV/NW AZ
   BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THEN TRACK INTO UT BY THURSDAY MORNING. A
   STRONG SFC COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...WILL
   CONTINUE MOVING SE...AND EXTEND ACROSS THE OH VALLEY/NW TX BY
   THURSDAY MORNING. STRONG SFC WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF CA/DESERT SOUTHWEST TODAY. 
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NRN CA...
     
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH LOCALLY
   HIGHER GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES 10-15 PERCENT...
   
   STRONG NLY SFC WINDS OF 15-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY ACROSS
   MUCH OF NRN/CNTRL CA. LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH ARE LIKELY
   AS WELL. IN ADDITION...MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY DROP TO AROUND 10-15
   PERCENT. RECENT OBSERVED FIRE DANGER VALUES HAVE RISEN OVER THE
   PAST 2 DAYS...IN RESPONSE TO THE DRY NLY FLOW. A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER AREA WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NRN CA WHERE FIRE
   DANGER VALUES ARE THE HIGHEST. HOWEVER...STRONG NLY WINDS WILL BE
   COMMON ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN PORTIONS OF CA. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL
   BE A BIT HIGHER THOUGH...IN THE 15-25 PERCENT RANGE. 
   
   ...AZ/NM...
   STRONG SW WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH LOCALLY
   HIGHER GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH POSSIBLE. HIGHER RH VALUES AND COOLER
   TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MINIMUM
   RH VALUES IN THE DESERTS/VALLEYS MAY FALL INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT
   RANGE. FOR MUCH OF NRN AZ/NW NM...RH VALUES WILL BE HIGHER / 30-50
   PERCENT / AS A COOLER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH.    
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/02/02
     
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
   NNNN
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 020957
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   500 AM CDT WED OCT 02 2002
     
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
   VALID 031200-041200
     
   ...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   UPPER LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WILL WEAKEN AS THE UPPER SYSTEM
   MOVES EAST INTO THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
   BRING MUCH COLDER AIR INTO MUCH OF THE WEST...WITH BELOW NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES EXPECTED IN SOME AREAS. AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
   ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN...SFC WINDS WILL DECREASE ACROSS THE WEST
   AND SOUTHWEST. 
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/02/02
      
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
   NNNN
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home