Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 050952
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
400 AM CST TUE NOV 05 2002
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
VALID 051200-061200
...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
...SYNOPSIS...
A SFC TROUGH EXTENDED FROM THE CNTRL DAKOTAS THROUGH ERN NM AT
05/0800Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST INTO THE OH
VALLEY/GREAT LAKES BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ANOTHER STRONGER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE
SFC LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TODAY AND MOVE INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES BY TONIGHT. THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE WEST WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
EAST IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM OFF THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST COAST.
...DAKOTAS/ERN WY/NE/KS/WRN OK...
SFC WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM S/SELY TO N/NWLY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS
TODAY AS THE SFC TROUGH MOVES EAST. WINDS HAVE ALREADY SHIFTED TO
THE W/NW ACROSS THE DAKOTAS/WRN HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING...WITH
OBSERVED SPEEDS OF 10-20 MPH. SFC WINDS WILL INTENSIFY BY
MIDMORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WRN/CNTRL PLAINS...INCREASING TO
20-30 MPH. HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH MAY BE POSSIBLE AS WELL. MINIMUM
RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AS LOW AS 30-35 PERCENT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RISE INTO THE 40S AND
50S.
..TAYLOR.. 11/05/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 051017
STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
500 AM CST TUE NOV 05 2002
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
VALID 061200-071200
...NO LARGE-SCALE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED...
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE ERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH
THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THE SFC...A COLD
FRONT WILL BE LOCATED ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE OH RIVER VALLEY BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND
SRN PLAINS WEDNESDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN DIMINISHING WINDS. THE
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC NW COAST...WHICH
WILL INCREASE SFC WINDS.
...WRN OR/NRN CA...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AS AN
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE WRN RIDGE. SFC WINDS ACROSS
WRN OR/NRN CA WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 10-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY FALL AS LOW AS 30-35 PERCENT...WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S/60S. RECENT OBSERVED FIRE DANGER RATINGS
ARE MARGINAL...SO A CRITICAL AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED.
..TAYLOR.. 11/05/02
SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
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