Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 230408
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   400 AM CDT WED APR 23 2003
     
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
   VALID 231200-241200
     
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR - (ERN NM/FAR W TX)...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   A VIGOROUS UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS
   TODAY...ALONG WITH A 50-70 KT UPPER JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE
   TROUGH. THE UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED IN THE WRN HIGH PLAINS BY WED
   NIGHT...WITH A SFC WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH ACROSS TX/OK. A STRONG
   SFC DRYLINE MOVING THROUGH ERN NM/WRN TX WILL BE THE MAIN FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERN TODAY. BEHIND THE DRYLINE...A SFC COLD FRONT WILL
   MOVE ACROSS AZ/NM THIS AFTN...AND INTO CNTRL TX BY WED NIGHT. 
     
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - (ERN NM/FAR W TX)...
     
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: / SUSTAINED SFC WINDS FROM 20-35 MPH / MINIMUM
   RH VALUES 10-15 PERCENT / MODERATE LONG TERM DROUGHT... 
   
   A DRYLINE LOCATED OVER ERN NM EARLY THIS MORNING...WILL MIX EAST
   THROUGH THE DAY INTO W TX. AS IT DOES...SFC DEWPOINTS WILL FALL
   RAPIDLY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES RANGING FROM 10-15 PERCENT BY
   AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN NM AND PORTIONS OF W TX. VERY STRONG SWLY FLOW
   / SUSTAINED SFC WINDS OF 20-35 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS / WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTN. THE
   WARMEST TEMPS WILL BE ACROSS FAR W TX...WITH READINGS IN THE
   70S/80S. 
   
   RECENT OBSERVATIONS OF FIRE DANGER CLASS INDICATE HIGH OR VERY HIGH
   VALUES. MODERATE LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS ACROSS THE AREA...AND
   THE COMBINATION OF STRONG SFC WINDS AND LOW RH VALUES WILL RESULT
   IN WORSENING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. 
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/23/03
     
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
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   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 230450
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   400 AM CDT WED APR 23 2003
     
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
   VALID 241200-251200
     
   ...NO AREAS...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE WRN HIGH PLAINS AND WEAKEN AS IT
   APPROACHES THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
   BUILD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...WHILE ANOTHER UPPER STORM
   SYSTEM BRINGS WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A
   STRONG WLY JET WILL MOVE INTO CNTRL CA/NV BY THURSDAY AFTN. MID
   LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM 20-40 KTS EARLY THURSDAY TO 50-70
   KTS BY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG SFC WINDS IN THE
   SRN GREAT BASIN. IN ADDITION...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
   NM/TX WITH A WLY 40-50 KT UPPER FLOW ON THURSDAY.
   
   ...ERN NM/FAR W TX...
   
   ALTHOUGH SFC WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS WEDNESDAY...SUSTAINED
   WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE STILL EXPECTED. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
   AT LEAST 5-10 DEGREES WARMER THAN ON WEDNESDAY...WITH MINIMUM RH
   VALUES AROUND 15 PERCENT. THIS AREA WILL RECEIVE LITTLE IF ANY
   PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH WILL FURTHER ENHANCE
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THIS AREA MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A CRITICAL
   AREA IF FORECAST SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGER THAN IN THE
   LATEST MODELS.
     
   ..TAYLOR.. 04/23/03
      
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
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