Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 100830
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   400 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
     
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWE98 KWNS
   VALID 101200-111200
     
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR - CENTRAL AND ERN NM...S CENTRAL
   CO...W TX...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   ONE MORE DAY OF HIGH WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER NM AND W TX AS UPPER JET
   AND SURFACE LOW EXIT THE REGION.  AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER
   THE SERN U.S...WHERE IT WILL BE HOT AND BREEZY.  A STRONG AREA OF
   LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN FROM NRN MO INTO THE GREAT LAKES     
     
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA # 1 - CENTRAL AND ERN NM...S CENTRAL
   CO...W TX...
     
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS:  STRONG WLY WINDS / VERY LOW RH  
   
   THE TAIL END OF A STRONG JET STREAM ALOFT WILL HANG BACK OVER NM
   TODAY...AS MAIN UPPER TROUGH MOVES TO THE E.  SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENTS ALONG WITH TRAILING UPPER JET WILL PRODUCE STRONG
   WINDS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.  SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF
   20-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH LIKELY THROUGH
   MIDDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER SERN NM INTO FAR W TX WHERE HIGHER WINDS
   SPEEDS ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN.  WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE RAPIDLY
   DURING THE EVENING AS MIXING CEASES AND JET ALOFT DEPARTS.  LATER
   INTO THE NIGHT...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD THROUGH ERN NM AND WRN
   TX...BRINGING COOL AIR ON NELY WINDS...AND GOOD RH RECOVERY.  
   
   ...FL / GA / SC...
   WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNDERNEATH AN UPPER RIDGE.  AFTERNOON
   HIGHS WILL REACH THE 90S F...WHILE RH VALUES DROP TO 35-40 PERCENT
   OVER PORTIONS OF INTERIOR FL...GA...AND SC.  SWLY WINDS NEAR 15 MPH
   CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.  VERY LOW KBDI VALUES FROM CENTRAL GA INTO
   SC WILL MITIGATE FIRE THREAT HERE.  MODERATE KBDI VALUES EXIST OVER
   FL.  
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/10/03
     
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
   NNNN
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 100842
   STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
   500 AM CDT SAT MAY 10 2003
     
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PMWI98 KWNS
   VALID 111200-121200
     
   ...NO AREAS...
     
   ...SYNOPSIS... 
   HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
   WILL EXTEND SWD OUT OF A STRONG SURFACE LOW...CENTERED OVER THE
   GREAT LAKES AT 00Z.  THE FRONT WILL BRING WETTING RAINS TO NEW
   ENGLAND...THE OHIO VALLEY...AND APPALACHIANS.  THE EXTREME SERN
   U.S. WILL REMAIN MOSTLY DRY.  FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
   BUILD OVER THE WRN U.S...ALLOWING FOR A CONTINUATION OF LOW RH AND
   WARMING TEMPERATURES.  WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.
   
   ...SERN U.S...
   IT WILL BE VERY WARM ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE
   DRAPED FROM LAKE ONTARIO SWD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
   CAROLINAS...GA...AND SRN AL.  SWLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...WITH SPEEDS NEAR 20 MPH LIKELY BY AFTERNOON.  RH LEVELS
   COULD BE MARGINALLY LOW IN SPOTS...BUT WILL NOT GENERALLY DIP BELOW
   CRITICAL LEVELS.  HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S WILL MAKE FOR DEEP
   MIXING LAYERS.  GIVEN THIS AND 20 MPH WINDS...ENHANCED THREAT IS
   SUGGESTED DESPITE MARGINAL RH.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 05/10/03
      
   SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOKS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE
     
   NNNN
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home