Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050847
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2003
   
   VALID 051200-061200
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ/WRN NM...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN THE SAME THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF
   DAYS...WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE IN THE WEST...AND UPPER TROUGH IN
   THE EAST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY EARLY THIS MORNING SHOWS UPPER LOWS IN
   ALBERTA AND SE MT HEADING SOUTHEAST. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
   ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS REGION BY TONIGHT...AND INTO THE
   CNTRL PLAINS BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. COOLER AIR ALOFT COMBINED WITH
   A SFC FRONT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR
   WY/CO...WHILE SOUTH OF THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE
   80S/90S ACROSS AZ/NM. THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERN WILL BE IN THE
   SOUTHWEST...WHERE GUSTY SFC WINDS AND A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL
   WORSEN FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN AX/WRN NM...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MAX SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 20 MPH WITH LOCALLY
   HIGHER GUSTS/ MINIMUM RH VALUES 10-15 PERCENT/ MAX TEMPS IN THE 90S
   / EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT...
   
   STRONG SFC WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   SOUTHWEST...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH COMBINED WITH LOCALLY
   HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 10
   PERCENT...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE STRONGEST
   WINDS WILL BE ACROSS NRN NM...AND ACROSS SRN AZ/SW NM. RECENT FIRE
   DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE MAINLY IN THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
   RANGE...WITH LOW 100/1000 FUEL MOISTURE OBSERVATIONS. THE WORST
   CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE MID AFTERNOON-EARLY EVENING WHEN
   TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE 80S/90S AND WINDS ARE STRONGEST.
   ISOLATED DRY TSTMS WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN GIVEN SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE...VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INCREASED LIFT FROM THE
   APPROACHING SHORTWAVE.
   
   ...WRN OREGON...
   STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE OREGON COAST...AND EXTREME
   WRN OREGON WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S/90S IN THE
   INTERIOR VALLEYS OF SW OREGON/WILLAMETTE VALLEY. SUSTAINED NORTH
   WINDS OF 10-20 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS. IN
   ADDITION...MINIMUM RH VALUES MAY FALL AS LOW AS 15-20 PERCENT.
   RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS HAVE BEEN RISING OVER THE LAST
   FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...AN OUTLOOK WILL NOT BE ISSUED BECAUSE THE
   STRONGEST SFC WINDS WILL BE NEAR THE COAST...WHERE RH VALUES WILL BE
   HIGHER.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/05/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050941
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0441 AM CDT THU JUN 05 2003
   
   VALID 061200-071200
   
   ...NO AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST FROM
   SASKATCHEWAN ON FRIDAY...WITH THE LEAD SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE NRN
   PLAINS BY FRIDAY EVENING. MODERATE MID LEVEL NORTHWEST FLOW OF 40-50
   KTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE WRN HIGH PLAINS.
   THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG SFC WINDS / 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER 
   GUSTS/ FROM THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY/WY TO NRN AZ. HOWEVER...COOLER
   TEMPERATURES IN WY/CO RANGING FROM THE 50S TO 70S WILL RESULT IN RH
   VALUES ABOVE 20 PERCENT IN MOST LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES ACROSS
   NRN AZ ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN ON THURSDAY...GIVEN
   COOLER FORECAST HIGHS IN THE 70S/80S. NO AREAS WILL BE INCLUDED IN
   AN OUTLOOK BECAUSE RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MARGINAL.
   ELSEWHERE...GUSTY NLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WRN VALLEYS OF
   OREGON...WITH ABOVE NORMAL MAX TEMPERATURES...RUNNING ABOUT 20-30
   DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 06/05/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home