Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140822
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0322 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2003
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ADDITIONAL ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NERN PACIFIC MID-UPPER LVL
   CYCLONE IS PROGGED TO SURGE EWD TODAY THRU THE NRN ROCKIES INTO THE
   NRN PLAINS WELL TO THE NORTH OF A SLOWLY EWD SHIFTING RIDGE OVER THE
   SWRN U.S.. AS THE MID-UPPER LVL SPEED MAXIMUM MOVES INTO THE NRN
   PLAINS REGION / 14/18Z TO 15/00Z / STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION OUT
   AHEAD OF AN INTENSIFYING SURFACE CYCLONE WILL AID IN
   NUMEROUS/WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHWRS/TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE UPPER
   MIDWEST INTO THE WRN LAKES REGION. MEANWHILE...THE RATHER PERSISTENT
   MID-UPPER LVL TROUGH OVER THE ERN/NERN STATES WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
   AS THE UPPER LOW TRANSLATES NEWD INTO NERN QUEBEC. STRONG SWRN U.S.
   RIDGE TO KEEP MUCH OF THE WEST HOT AND DRY AGAIN TODAY BUT STRONGER
   LARGE-SCALE MID-LVL FLOW NORTH OF THIS RIDGE COULD POSE SOME FIRE WX
   DIFFICULTIES ACROSS A BROAD AREA FROM WA STATE EWD THRU THE NRN
   ROCKIES INTO THE NRN PLAINS.
   
   ...WRN SD/ND...
   THESE AREAS TO EXPERIENCE MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS
   TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL AFFECT AREAS
   FURTHER EAST. EXPECT NWLY SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 15-25 MPH WITH
   SOME HIGHER GUSTS...MINIMUM RH VALUES FROM 18-30 PERCENT...WHILE
   HIGH TEMPERATURES...AIDED BY STRONG DOWNSLOPING...WILL MAKE IT INTO
   THE MID 80S/LOW 90S. THE MOST SEVERE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
   IN WRN/SWRN ND INTO NWRN/NCNTRL SD AS SOME MINIMUM RH LEVELS WILL
   REACH INTO THE UPPER TEENS / ESPECIALLY IN WRN SD /. HOWEVER...THE
   OVERALL MARGINALITY OF THE MINIMUM RH LEVELS AND RECENT SCATTERED
   PRECIPITATION WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL AREA ISSUANCE.
   
   ...AZ/NM...
   ANOTHER ROUND OF MAINLY OROGRAPHICALLY GENERATED TSTMS IS EXPECTED
   FROM NRN/NERN NM THRU THE CNTRL NM CHAIN INTO SWRN NM/SERN AZ TODAY.
   GIVEN FCST PW VALUES GENERALLY ABOVE 0.60 INCHES FOR MANY AREAS AND
   LITTLE CHANGE IN THE OVERALL REGIONAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN...EXPECT
   MAINLY WET TSTMS IN THESE AREAS. THE EXCEPTIONS TO THIS WILL BE IN
   AREAS NEAR THE MOGOLLON RIM INTO THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE REGION OF
   WRN/NWRN NM WHERE SOME DRY TSTMS COULD OCCUR.
   
   ..NADEN.. 07/14/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 140908
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0408 AM CDT MON JUL 14 2003
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE SWRN U.S. RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY HEAD EWD WITH THE
   PRIMARY AXIS TO BE CENTERED FROM NRN NM INTO WRN OK BY THE END OF
   THE PERIOD. THIS SLOW AND SLIGHT EXPANSION EWD COUPLED WITH THE SLOW
   DEPARTURE OF THE WRN LAKES SYSTEM INTO ERN CANADA WILL RESULT IN
   SOME HEIGHT RISES ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN THIRD OF THE NATION.
   HOWEVER...WITH THE APPROACH OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...TO
   STRETCH FROM THE ERN LAKES SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY
   16/00Z...SCATTERED SHWRS/TSTMS WILL OCCUR FROM ARK/TN NEWD INTO THE
   ERN LAKES. WITH THE SLIGHT EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SWRN/WRN U.S.
   RIDGE...AN INCREASING WIND REGIME IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   GREAT BASIN ENEWD INTO THE NCNTRL ROCKIES AS STRONGER WLY FLOW
   ASSOCIATED WITH ERN PACIFIC TROUGHING TRANSLATE INLAND.
   
   ...NV/UT...
   EXPECT SOME STRONGER SWLY WINDS TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT
   BASIN EWD INTO AREAS OF CNTRL/NCNTRL UT. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS FROM
   15-20 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS...AS MINIMUM RH VALUES RANGE FROM
   5-15 PERCENT...AND TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.
   ATTM...EXPECT THE MAGNITUDE OF THE SUSTAINED WINDS TO BE JUST BELOW
   CRITICAL CRITERIA...HOWEVER...GIVEN VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
     ADJECTIVE RATINGS...SOME FIRE WX RELATED DIFFICULTIES ARE LIKELY.
   THIS SITUATION WILL BE INSPECTED AGAIN TOMORROW MRNG FOR THE
   POSSIBILITY OF AN UPGRADE.
   
   ..NADEN.. 07/14/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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