Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290754
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0254 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2003
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM THE NRN GREAT LAKES REGION SWWD INTO
   SD WILL MIGRATE SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE PERIOD. SEASONABLY STRONG
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SEWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS/NRN ROCKIES
   DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. UPPER LOW EVIDENT IN WV IMAGERY EARLY THIS
   MORNING ACROSS SERN ORE/NWRN NV WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN GREAT
   BASIN...PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS ERN
   NV...NRN AND CENTRAL UT...SERN ID...AND WRN WY DURING MUCH OF THE
   FORECAST PERIOD.
   
   ...ERN NV/NRN AND CENTRAL UT/SERN ID/WRN WY...
   
   NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
   UPSTREAM UPPER LOW IMPINGES UPON REGION OF MODEST INSTABILITY /CAPE
   VALUES AROUND 500 J/KG/ AND PRE-EXISTING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE. MODEL
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SUB-CLOUD LAYER WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY DRY THIS
   PERIOD AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE
   LEVELS. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
   WILL EXIST ACROSS FAR ERN NV AND NRN/CENTRAL UT... HOWEVER...
   ASSOCIATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A CRITICAL
   OUTLOOK. STORMS NORTH OF THIS REGION SHOULD GENERALLY PRODUCE ENOUGH
   RAINFALL TO MINIMIZE THREAT OF ADDITION FIRE STARTS.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 08/29/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290751
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0251 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2003
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...FRONTAL SYSTEM EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL NEW
   ENGLAND TO THE SRN GREAT PLAINS WILL MOVE SLOWLY SWD AND EWD. 
   DESPITE COOLER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN HALF OF THE
   COUNTRY...700MB THERMAL RIDGE WILL REMAIN STRONG ACROSS THE FOUR
   CORNERS REGION AND BUILD SLIGHTLY NWD AND WWD ACROSS INTERIOR
   CA/ORE. SURFACE RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT ARE LIKELY FROM THE
   CENTRAL VALLEYS OF CA NWD INTO THE COLUMBIA BASIN WITH HOT SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES /NEAR 100F IN N-CENTRAL CA/. HOWEVER...AT THE SURFACE
   AND ALOFT...WIND FIELDS WILL GENERALLY BE WEAK. AN UPPER LOW WILL
   MOVE SLOWLY EWD FROM NRN UT/SERN ID AT 30/12Z TO CENTRAL/ERN WY BY
   31/12Z BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MUCH OF WY
   AND CO. RELATIVELY COOL SURFACE CONDITIONS AND MOIST SUB-CLOUD
   LAYERS BASED ON ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DRY THUNDERSTORM THREAT
   WILL BE LIMITED.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 08/29/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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