Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 200735
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2003
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
   INTO SWRN MANITOBA...WHILE A SFC FRONT EXTENDS FROM WRN MN THROUGH
   CNTRL IA. WIDESPREAD RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES OCCURRED ON SUNDAY IN
   ASSOCIATION WITH THE LARGE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THE RIDGE
   WILL BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE WEST AGAIN...CONTINUING THE TREND OF
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. FOR TODAY...SFC HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE
   WEST WILL RESULT IN LIGHTER WINDS AND IN SOME LOCATIONS...COOLER
   TEMPERATURES THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL
   STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH MORE RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
   GREAT BASIN/OREGON/ID.
   
   FARTHER EAST...A SFC LOW PRESSURE/FRONT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WRN
   GREAT LAKES...BRINGING STRONG W/NWLY WINDS / SUSTAINED 15-30 MPH
   WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 30-40 MPH /. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE UPPER
   MIDWEST/NRN PLAINS WILL BE AROUND 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH
   HIGHS IN THE 70S/80S. HOWEVER RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE
   30 PERCENT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/20/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 200742
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0242 AM CDT MON OCT 20 2003
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BUILDING RIDGE WILL BE THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER FEATURE OF INTEREST
   THIS PERIOD. MAIN WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN ACROSS CANADA THIS
   PERIOD...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF NRN
   MT/ND ON TUESDAY...WHICH WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG MID LEVEL
   WLY WINDS. THIS WILL BRING STRONG SFC WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NRN
   HIGH PLAINS ON TUESDAY. AT THE SFC...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE EWD
   ACROSS NERN MT/DAKOTAS...WITH ABOVE NORMAL/RECORD TEMPERATURES
   EXPECTED.
   
   ...MT/WRN DAKOTAS...
   SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS MT AND THE DAKOTAS INTO THE 15-30 MPH
   RANGE BY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE
   NORMAL...BY AROUND 15-25 DEGREES WITH RECORD HIGHS LIKELY IN SOME
   LOCATIONS. MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 20-30
   PERCENT. THIS AREA MAY BE UPGRADED TO A CRITICAL AREA IN THE NEXT
   OUTLOOK...AS RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE HIGH
   TO EXTREME RANGE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE FROM THE ETA SUGGESTS
   THAT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S ARE LIKELY...AND THIS MAY RESULT
   IN MINIMUM RH VALUES LOWER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 10/20/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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