Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 240909
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0409 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2003
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RACING ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES WILL
   DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. IN THE
   WEST...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD THROUGH THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST/GREAT BASIN AREA...REINFORCING OFFSHORE WIND REGIME ACROSS
   MUCH OF WRN CA.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: GUSTY DOWNSLOPE WINDS / LOW RH / DRY FUELS
   
   MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE/INCREASE LATE TODAY AS HIGH
   PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN. DOWNSLOPE NE WINDS /15-25 MPH
   WITH 30 MPH GUSTS POSSIBLE/ WILL BE STRONGEST IN FAVORED AREAS
   ADJACENT TO CANYONS AND PASSES. AFTERNOON RH VALUES AS LOW AS 10
   PERCENT WILL BE PRESENT WITH POOR RH RECOVERIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
   WITH OTHERWISE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES/ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS.
   
   ...NRN CA...
   SCENARIO OF WARM/DRY CONDITIONS WITH DEVELOPING OFFSHORE WINDS WILL
   ALSO BE PRESENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN CA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
   DOWNSLOPE N/NE WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 20-30 MPH. RH VALUES DURING
   PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING WILL BE AS LOW AS 10-15 PERCENT...WITH POOR
   RH RECOVERY ALSO EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...
   IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT ADVANCING INTO THE SOUTHERN
   PLAINS...STRONG AND GUSTY N/NW WINDS /WITH GUSTS TO 35-45 MPH
   POSSIBLE/ WILL BE PRESENT TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN AND CNTRL
   PLAINS REGION. INFILTRATION OF COOLER POST FRONTAL AIRMASS AND
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 20-25 PERCENT OR HIGHER WILL GENERALLY
   INHIBIT POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/24/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 241027
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0527 AM CDT FRI OCT 24 2003
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN CA...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE
   GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES ON SATURDAY...WITH RESULTANT STRONG
   PRESSURE GRADIENT KEEPING OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE WIND FLOW IN PLACE
   ACROSS WRN CA. ELSEWHERE...COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION
   WILL PUSH TOWARD THE EAST COAST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WHILE
   COOLER/DRIER AIRMASS CONTINUES TO SPREAD THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF
   THE COUNTRY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN CA...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SANTA ANA WINDS / LOW RH / DRY FUELS
   
   DOWNSLOPE SANTA ANA WIND REGIME COINCIDENT WITH STRONG THERMAL AXIS
   WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SRN CA ON SATURDAY. NE DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 20-30
   MPH /WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS/ WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PRESENCE OF
   UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW AND STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES. SCENARIO
   OF RECORD OR NEAR RECORD WARMTH...ANTECEDENT DRY
   CONDITIONS...MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES AROUND 10 PERCENT...AND
   VERY POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES WILL PERSIST.
   
   ...NRN CA...
   OFF SHORE/DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NRN CA IN ASSOCIATION
   WITH STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM GREAT BASIN HIGH PRESSURE. N/NE
   DOWNSLOPE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH MINIMUM
   AFTERNOON RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT AND POOR OVERNIGHT RH
   RECOVERIES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/24/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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