Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 310849
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 AM CST FRI OCT 31 2003
VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DRIFT SEWD OVER NRN CA INTO THE GREAT
BASIN TODAY BRINGING COOL AND MOIST CONDITIONS WITH ONSHORE FLOW.
TO THE EAST...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED OVER THE SRN
GREAT BASIN THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL TRANSLATE EWD TO THE FOUR
CORNERS AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. VERY STRONG SWLY WINDS WITH UPPER
JET WILL HELP CAUSE WINDY SURFACE CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF AZ / NM /
SRN NV UT AND CO...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGH TERRAIN. ELSEWHERE...A
SURFACE HIGH OVER THE SERN U.S. WILL ALLOW FOR WARM DRY AND LIGHT
WINDS.
...NRN AZ AND NM..SRN UT...SWRN CO...
STRONG SWLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING OVER SRN NV...AND SOUTH OF E-W ORIENTED COLD FRONT THAT
WILL BE STALLED OUT OVER NRN UT AND NWRN CO. SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF
20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THE DAYTIME. RH
LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS HOWEVER...DUE TO COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING MOISTURE. THE LOWEST VALUES WILL BE
NEAR 20 PERCENT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AT PEAK HEATING.
..JEWELL.. 10/31/2003
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 310853
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 AM CST FRI OCT 31 2003
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
JET STREAM LEVEL WINDS WILL WEAKEN A BIT OVER THE SWRN U.S. ON
SATURDAY AS UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST.
PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIKELY AS A RESULT OVER UT/ WRN CO AND WY.
WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AT THE SURFACE FROM NERN AZ INTO
THE TX PANHANDLE AS A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE SERN U.S. WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.
...SERN CO AND NM / WRN TX AND OK PANHANDLES...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER CO SATURDAY AS A POTENT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. THIS WILL CAUSE A COLD FRONT...INITIALLY
ALONG THE FRONT RANGE AND EXTENDING EWD ACROSS THE PANHANDLES...TO
RETREAT NWD BY AFTERNOON. WINDS SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY
EXCEED 30 MPH. RH LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE IN EXCESS OF 30 PERCENT IN
GENERAL HOWEVER.
...WRN CAROLINAS INTO FL PANHANDLE...
HIGH PRESSURE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED OVER THE SERN U.S. WILL CAUSE WARM
TEMPERATURES AND RH VALUES TO CONTINUE. HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM
75-85 WILL MAKE FOR MIN RH NEAR 35 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOONS.
WINDS WILL AVERAGE NEAR 10 MPH OUT OF THE NE WITH GUSTINESS TO 20
MPH LIKELY. WINDS WILL DIE QUICKLY DURING THE EVENING AS BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZES AND RH RECOVERS.
..JEWELL.. 10/31/2003
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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