Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 220910
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0310 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2003
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM/FAR W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DYNAMIC WRN STORM SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST/SRN PLAINS TODAY. LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS WILL
   MOVE INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY TONIGHT...WHILE A SFC COLD FRONT
   DROPS SWD ACROSS SRN CA/AZ/NM. ALTHOUGH HIGH WINDS WILL OCCUR WITH
   THIS SYSTEM ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WEST...AN UNSEASONABLY COLD
   AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT. THE MAIN FIRE WEATHER AREAS
   OF CONCERN TODAY WILL BE ACROSS ERN NM/W TX WHERE WARM
   TEMPERATURES...LOW RH VALUES AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/FAR W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY STRONG SFC WINDS 20-40 MPH...ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPS IN THE 70S/80S...LOW RH VALUES NEAR 10 PERCENT...
   
   SFC WINDS WILL BE QUITE STRONG TODAY...AS AN UPPER LEVEL JET MOVES
   AROUND THE BASE OF A WRN TROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-40 MPH ARE
   LIKELY...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50-60 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS AND FAVORED TERRAIN AREAS. IN ADDITION...LOW RH VALUES
   WILL FALL TO AROUND 10-15 PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE
   MID 70S/LOWER 80S. RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS ARE IN THE
   HIGH TO EXTREME RANGE.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   WINDS WILL BE STRONG ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN CA AS WELL...THOUGH
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT TODAY. THE
   STRONGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY TONIGHT...WHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   IS THE TIGHTEST ACROSS THE REGION. SUSTAINED WINDS TONIGHT WILL
   INCREASE TO 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50-60 MPH IN FAVORED
   TERRAIN. THE COMBINATION OF LOWERING RH VALUES AND STRENGTHENING
   WINDS WILL RESULT IN WORSENING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BY SUNDAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/22/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 221021
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0421 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2003
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CNTRL CONUS THIS
   PERIOD...WHILE ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM AFFECTS THE NORTHWEST.
   STRONG NLY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY SFC COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL EXTEND
   SWWD FROM SFC LOW NEAR CHICAGO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DOWNSLOPE NELY
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN CA...CONTRIBUTING TO LOW
   RH VALUES IN THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH
   ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTN WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE FAVORED TERRAIN
   AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN THE SANTA ANA EVENT A
   FEW WEEKS AGO...GENERALLY IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WIDESPREAD
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR...SO AN
   OUTLOOK AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 11/22/2003
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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