Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 070940
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 AM CST SUN DEC 07 2003
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
EXISTING BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER THE ERN U.S. WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD UNDER STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE...CONTRIBUTING TO
LIGHT WINDS AND RELATIVELY MODERATE RH VALUES/COOL AIR MASS OVER THE
AREA. IN THE WEST...UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN WHILE
SURFACE LEE TROUGH IN THE CNTRL PLAINS DEVELOPS...AND A DEVELOPING
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE NRN PLAINS BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
...ERN CO / NM / FAR WRN TX...
SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF DEEPENING
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO FOUR CORNERS REGION. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE 60S F IN CO TO THE 70S F IN SE NM/W
TX DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 15-20 PERCENT. ASSOCIATED DRY DOWNSLOPE WINDS IN THE
REGION WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR 25-35
MPH IN NE NM.
...FL PANHANDLE / CNTRL N FL...
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER AREA...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES EXPECTED TO
DROP NEAR 30-35 PERCENT BY MID AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...AND DURATION OF LOW RH VALUES WILL BE LIMITED TO 2-3 HOURS
DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING.
..LEVIT/JEWELL.. 12/07/2003
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 071055
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0455 AM CST SUN DEC 07 2003
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL U.S. AS
SEPARATE UPPER LEVEL RIDGES BUILD ALONG THE EAST COAST AND THE WEST
COAST. THIS TROUGH WILL CAUSE STRONG WINDS TO DEVELOP ACROSS NM AND
W TX. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST
COAST...AND A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS.
ASSOCIATED WINDS WITH THIS FRONT WILL BE STRONG BY TUESDAY MORNING
BUT AIRMASS WILL BE COOL AND MOIST WITH HIGH RH VALUES AND SOME
PRECIPITATION.
...SE NM / SW TX...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE AREA WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
INCREASE...HELPING TO PRODUCE SUSTAINED DOWNSLOPE SURFACE WINDS OF
15-25 MPH. BY MID AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY BE GUSTING
FROM 30-35 MPH AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE AIRMASS WILL WARM
INTO THE MID 60S F TO THE MID 70S F. GIVEN STRONG WINDS AND DRY
FUELS A MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS...BUT MINIMUM AFTERNOON
RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AT 20 PERCENT OR HIGHER.
RH VALUES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AFTER SUNSET...WHILE SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE AT 15-25 MPH. ADDITIONALLY...A SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATE ON TUESDAY CHANGING WINDS FROM A
WESTERLY TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION.
..LEVIT/JEWELL.. 12/07/2003
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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