Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010927
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0327 AM CST THU JAN 01 2004
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HAS BROUGHT A GENERALLY MILD PACIFIC
   AIRMASS TO MOST OF THE NATION. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS IN THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST...WHERE A PERSISTENT UPPER TROUGH REMAINS ANCHORED OFF THE
   WEST COAST.
   
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN STATES MOVES OFFSHORE DURING
   THE PERIOD...AND A SUBSTANTIAL LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS EAST OF THE
   ROCKIES.  S/SWLY FLOW AT LOW LEVELS RESULTS IN A MILD AIRMASS AND AN
   INCREASE IN MOISTURE FOR THE ERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY.
   
   RAIN AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...AS
   WELL AS FROM CENTRAL CA THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. IN THE
   EAST...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE LOWER
   MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED
   IN THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
   
   ...TX/OK PANHANDLES...NWRN TX...
   MID/HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE DAY AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
   SYSTEM MOVES EWD INTO THE PLAINS. INCREASING INSOLATION...DOWNSLOPE
   WINDS...AND GOOD MIXING ALLOW AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB WELL
   INTO THE 60S WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 01/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 011045
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0445 AM CST THU JAN 01 2004
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   COLD UPPER TROUGH OVER WRN CANADA MOVES SLOWLY SWD DURING THE
   PERIOD...MAINTAINING THE COOL AND DAMP PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE WEST.
   AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NRN PLAINS MOVES TO THE GREAT
   LAKES REGION.  ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT REACHES THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   BY SATURDAY MORNING AS AN ARCTIC AIRMASS DROPS SWD FROM CANADA. 
   AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT...MILD AND MOIST SWLY FLOW RESULTS IN
   SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OHIO
   VALLEY. LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
   FL AND THE COASTAL SOUTHEAST.
   
   ...NWRN TX...TX/OK PANHANDLES...EXTREME WRN OK...NERN NM...
   GUSTY SWLY SURFACE WINDS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AS
   THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE LOW TRACKS NORTH OF THE AREA. THE MILD
   PREFRONTAL AIRMASS AIDED BY DOWNSLOPE FLOW RESULTS IN AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS
   /KEETCH-BYRAM 501-600; 10-HR FUEL MOISTURE 3-4 PERCENT/ FAVOR THE
   POTENTIAL FOR GRASS FIRES...BUT PREDICTED AFTERNOON HUMIDITY REMAINS
   THE LIMITING FACTOR TO WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. 
   AT THIS TIME SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR ABOVE
   THE MIDDLE 20S...KEEPING MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT
   RANGE.
   
   ..BRIGHT.. 01/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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