Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 160732
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0132 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2004
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   QUIET FIRE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
   MORNING. STRONG SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM NWRN ONTARIO SEWD INTO
   THE OHIO VALLEY IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE SERN CONUS TODAY IN
   THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT MOVING INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC WATERS.
   ADVECTION OF DRY LOW-LEVEL AIR SWD INTO SC/GA/NRN FL OVERNIGHT INTO
   FRIDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MARGINALLY LOW RH BY
   AFTERNOON /MINIMUM READINGS BETWEEN 25-35 PERCENT/. BELOW NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S IN SC TO THE MID
   60S IN N-CENTRAL FL...COMBINED WITH WEAK WINDS WILL MITIGATE FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THE SERN CONUS REGION. 
   
   ELSEWHERE...A STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER BAJA CA EARLY THIS
   MORNING WILL SHIFT ENEWD TO SWRN TX BY 17/12Z. AMPLE MOISTURE
   ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SURFACE RH RELATIVELY HIGH
   ACROSS NM AND TX. AREAS OF LOW AFTERNOON RH /AT OR BELOW 20 PERCENT/
   WILL BE CONFINED TO INTERIOR SRN CA AND WRN AZ...WHERE WINDS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT THIS PERIOD.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 01/16/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 160734
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0134 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2004
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   QUIET FIRE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD. 
   SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED IN VICINITY OF N-CENTRAL TX EARLY
   IN THE PERIOD...ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE SRN STREAM TROUGH TRACKING EWD
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS REGION SATURDAY. THE PRESENCE OF THIS SYSTEM
   WILL KEEP BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS MOIST ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE
   SRN PLAINS AND GULF COAST REGION. ON THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE
   SYSTEM...SURFACE WINDS WILL BECOME NLY AT 15-25 MPH ACROSS THE
   PLAINS OF SERN NM/WRN TX BY AFTERNOON...WITH LOW-LEVEL DRYING
   LIKELY. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND ONLY MARGINAL SURFACE
   RH /30 PERCENT/ IN THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AREA WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. 
   
   FURTHER EAST...POLAR AIR MASS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SERN CONUS
   WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY AS SURFACE RIDGE MOVES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST
   BY 18/00Z. AN AREA OF LOW SURFACE RH /25-35 PERCENT/ ACROSS NC/VA IS
   EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH LINGERING DRY CONTINENTAL AIR.
   LIGHT WINDS BELOW 15 MPH AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES /MID
   40S TO MID 50S/ WILL MITIGATE IMPACT OF LOW RH VALUES.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 01/16/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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