Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 200907
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0307 AM CST TUE JAN 20 2004
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SWD INTO THE
   FOUR CORNERS AREA...WHILE NLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS TROUGH
   HELPS TO BRING HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE GREAT
   BASIN. FURTHER E...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SERN QUARTER
   OF THE NATION WITH COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS.
   
   ...N FL / AL / GA / SC AND NC...
   IT WILL BE COOL AND DRY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE.  BY
   AFTERNOON...MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE 25-30 PERCENT WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S F.  INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL AVERAGE
   FROM 2500-3000 FT AGL...AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT OUT OF THE N NEAR 5
   MPH.  RH LEVELS WILL RECOVER QUICKLY AROUND SUNSET AS TEMPERATURES
   COOL RAPIDLY INTO THE 30S F.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/20/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 200948
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 AM CST TUE JAN 20 2004
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   *** MINOR SANTA ANA WIND EVENT THURSDAY ***
   
   CLOSED LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT FROM SRN CA /
   LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY SEWD INTO SRN AZ AND NRN MEXICO BY THURSDAY
   MORNING.  AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SWD OUT OF THE
   GREAT BASIN INTO SRN CA / SW AZ...INCREASING WINDS AND LOWERING RH
   LEVELS IN DOWNSLOPE REGIONS.  ELSEWHERE AROUND THE COUNTRY...LOW RH
   AND LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN
   STATES.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   A MINOR SANTA ANA WIND EVENT WILL BEGIN EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
   THROUGH THE PERIOD.  MITIGATING FACTORS INCLUDE RELATIVELY COOL
   TEMPERATURES AND MARGINALLY LOW RH LEVELS THAT ARE FORECAST.
   
   UPPER LOW WILL MOVE SEWD OUT OF THE LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY.  AS THIS
   OCCURS...UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME FAVORABLY ALIGNED OUT OF THE
   NE...AND WILL HELP PUSH HIGH PRESSURE SWD INTO THE AREA.  SFC
   PRESSURE GRADIENTS APPEAR MARGINAL AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER...DEPTH OF
   NELY WINDS WILL MAXIMIZE SUSTAINED SPEEDS AND STRENGTH OF WIND
   GUSTS.
   
   DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...SUSTAINED NLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL
   BE WIDESPREAD...WITH GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH.  LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS WILL
   OCCUR AROUND FAVORED PASSES AND CANYONS AND SPEEDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL
   BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.  BECAUSE OF
   FORECAST COOL HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70...MIN
   RH LEVELS ARE GOING TO BE AROUND 20-25 PERCENT. 
   HOWEVER...PERSISTENT NELY DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO THE SW OF THE COASTAL
   RANGE WILL ALLOW FOR COMPRESSIONAL HEATING...AND POOR OVERNIGHT
   RECOVERY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/20/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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