Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 210720
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0120 AM CST WED JAN 21 2004
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   POSITIVELY TILT UPPER TROUGH FROM THE FOUR CORNERS INTO SRN CA WILL
   SAG SWD THROUGH THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA TONIGHT. AS IT DOES...HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL INTENSIFY/BUILD SWD THROUGH THE INTERMOUNTAIN
   REGION...WITH OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN CA.
   
   IN THE EAST...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH SEWD THROUGH THE WRN GREAT
   LAKES AMIDST BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS. ASSOCIATED SURFACE
   COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SEWD THROUGH THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
   VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES...REINFORCING THE COLD AIRMASS ACROSS THE
   REGION.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES SWD THROUGH NRN BAJA...OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE
   SANTA ANA SCENARIO WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SRN CA TODAY. AIRMASS WILL
   WARM/DRY ACCORDINGLY OWING TO DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
   WINDS WILL INCREASE /20-30 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS/
   TONIGHT...AIDED BY NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL NE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW
   AND SUBSIDENCE/ WEAK COLD ADVECTION. ALTHOUGH RH VALUES WILL REMAIN
   WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS TODAY...POOR RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED
   OVERNIGHT. IN SPITE OF THE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS...MARGINAL NATURE OF
   RH VALUES AND RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL TEND TO LIMIT FIRE
   WEATHER POTENTIAL.
   
   ...SOUTHEAST STATES...
   RH VALUES MAY AGAIN BE AROUND/BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ACROSS MUCH
   OF THE SE STATES TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE REGION.
   HOWEVER RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL MITIGATE
   FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/21/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 210720
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0120 AM CST WED JAN 21 2004
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CLOSED MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER BAJA CA
   ON THURSDAY...WHILE BROAD UPPER TROUGH PREVAILS OVER THE ERN CONUS.
   HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
   WEAKEN...NEVERTHELESS OFFSHORE/DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   SRN CA THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   
   ...SRN CA...
   MODERATE SANTA ANA EVENT WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
   PERIOD...WITH 20-30 MPH WINDS AND LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED
   ADJACENT TO CANYONS AND MOUNTAIN PASSES. STRONGEST OFFSHORE/
   DOWNSLOPE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BY LATE MORNING...BUT AGAIN PEAK
   THURSDAY NIGHT. SUBSIDENCE SCENARIO WILL CONTINUE TO FOSTER A
   WARM/DRY AIRMASS ACROSS SRN CA. UNSEASONABLY WARM AFTERNOON
   TEMPERATURES /65-75F/ ARE EXPECTED...WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES
   APPROACHING CRITICAL THRESHOLDS IN ADDITION TO POOR OVERNIGHT
   RECOVERIES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 01/21/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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