Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 230704
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2004
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE STAGNANT/CLOSED UPPER TROUGH OVER NRN BAJA CA WILL BEGIN TO
PROGRESS SLOWLY EWD DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AS SEVERAL
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES EMBARK ON THE PACIFIC WEST COAST. ELSEWHERE BELT
OF FAST W/NW UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF THE
COUNTRY AS BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES. IN
THE WEST...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WILL
WEAKEN TODAY...ENDING THE OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SRN CA.
...SRN CA...
OFFSHORE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO INDUCE MODERATE DOWNSLOPE/
OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS SRN CA THIS MORNING WITH NE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
AND LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS IN FAVORED TERRAIN. HOWEVER OFFSHORE
GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY DURING THE DAY OWING TO DEMISE OF
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST HIGH PRESSURE...WITH ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. IN SPITE OF THE DIMINISHING OFFSHORE
TREND...RELATIVELY WARM/DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS SRN CA TODAY.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE IN THE 65-75F RANGE WITH RH
VALUES AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT. RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT WILL BE IMPROVED
CONSIDERABLY COMPARED TO PREVIOUS NIGHTS.
...NRN FL..
SIMILAR TO DAYS PREVIOUS...DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL PROMOTE
AFTERNOON RH VALUES AROUND/BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER
RELATIVELY LIGHT NW WINDS /10 MPH OR LESS/ WILL TEND TO MITIGATE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
..GUYER.. 01/23/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 230705
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0105 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2004
VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE/PROGRESSIVE UPPER FLOW WILL EXIST OVER THE CONUS ON
SATURDAY. MID/UPPER TROUGH OVER NRN MEXICO WILL PROGRESS INTO THE
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL TRAVERSE THE WRN STATES...WITH ONE IMPULSE
MOVING SWD ALONG COASTAL CA INTO BAJA...AND ANOTHER TRANSLATING EWD
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE...LOW
PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP/PUSH EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
DOWNSLOPE FLOW OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN WILL DEVELOP ON SATURDAY IN
WAKE OF UPPER TROUGH/ACCOMPANYING SFC LOW MOVING EWD ACROSS OK/TX.
W/SW WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY AFTERNOON. IN SPITE OF THE GUSTY
WINDS...OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MITIGATED BY
RELATIVELY COOL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES /55-65F/ WITH RH VALUES
SUFFICIENTLY ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
..GUYER.. 01/23/2004
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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