Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 250915
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0315 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2004
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY.
   A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGH WILL MOVE
   FROM THE ROCKIES EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD. STRONG
   WIND FIELDS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH OVER MUCH OF THE SRN
   PLAINS/SRN ROCKIES. IN THIS REGION...RELATIVELY LOW RH READINGS WILL
   COMBINE WITH THE WINDS TO PROVIDE FOR A NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE/RH READINGS.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
   WILL MOVE QUICKLY SEWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES BY THIS AFTERNOON.
   STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT
   WILL AID IN STRONG MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS BEING BROUGHT DOWN TO THE
   SURFACE DURING THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON OVER THE AREA.
   ADDITIONALLY...LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SERN CO EARLY IN THE
   PERIOD WILL SHIFT EWD WHILE DEEPENING. THE RESULT...WILL BE
   SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
   ACROSS MUCH OF ERN NM/WRN TX. DESPITE THE STRENGTH OF THE
   WINDS...TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE OVERLY WARM...WITH READINGS IN THE
   UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 20S WILL PROVIDE FOR
   MIN RH READINGS AROUND 20 PERCENT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/25/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 250916
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0316 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2004
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER MUCH OF THE NATION.
   EMBEDDED IN THIS TROUGH...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ENEWD
   FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE OHIO VLY/SOUTHEAST. STRONG WINDS WILL
   AGAIN ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS
   STATES...ESPECIALLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SEWD
   INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. BEHIND THIS COLD
   FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF SRN HIGH PLAINS SWD INTO FAR SRN
   TX...MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS AND COMBINED WITH LOW RH READINGS WILL
   CREATE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   MODERATE SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE LIKELY AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
   PERIOD...BUT WILL DECREASE DURING THE DAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEPARTS
   EAST OF THE AREA. LOWER DEWPOINTS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE AREA
   COMPARED TO THOSE SEEN ON DAY ONE...DUE TO SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE
   DEPARTING STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH. DESPITE THE LOWER DEWPOINTS/RH
   READINGS...TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO LIKELY TO BE LOWER WITH READINGS
   MAINLY IN THE 40S/50S. THEREFORE...DESPITE THE DRIER AIR AND RH
   READINGS AROUND 15 PERCENT...DECREASING WINDS DURING THE PERIOD
   ALONG WITH COOL TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ...SRN TX..
   WLY WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY IN THE PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO
   STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT MIXING TO THE SURFACE.
   AS A SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVES SWD THROUGH THE
   AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE
   SEEN ON DAY ONE AND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NWLY. HOWEVER...RAPIDLY
   LOWERING DEWPOINTS WILL ALLOW FOR MIN RH READINGS TO BE NEAR OR
   BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT. DESPITE SUSTAINED
   WINDS AROUND 20 MPH...THE MAIN LIMITING FACTORS FOR A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT WILL BE RECENT PRECIPITATION AND A LACK OF A LONG
   TERM DROUGHT OVER THE AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/25/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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