Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 010632
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1232 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2004
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN VICINITY OF NRN NM EARLY THIS MORNING
   WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS DURING THE DAY 1 PERIOD.
   ASSOCIATED SURFACE CYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED NEAR LBB...ALONG SHARP
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM LBB-END-EMP. WITH PASSAGE OF UPPER
   WAVE...FRONT WILL PUSH SWD TO MAF-DFW BY 00Z AND THEN ACCELERATE
   SOUTH AND EAST TO THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND TX COAST BY
   02/12Z.
   
   ...FAR WRN/SWRN/S-CENTRAL TX...
   
   DRY AIRSTREAM ORIGINATING FROM THE SWRN CONUS AND NRN MEXICO PLATEAU
   WILL ADVECT EWD ACROSS SWRN INTO S-CENTRAL TX THROUGH THIS
   AFTERNOON...SOUTH OF SURFACE COLD FRONT APPROACHING REGION FROM THE
   NORTH. ETA RUN AT 01/00Z INDICATES A 80KT 500MB JET MOVING EWD
   ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION BETWEEN 18-21Z. STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS
   THE DISCUSSION AREA DURING THIS PERIOD WILL RESULT IN STRONG
   VERTICAL MIXING AND A PERIOD OF WLY SURFACE WINDS OF 15-30 MPH.
   LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DAVIS
   MTNS. AT LOW-ELEVATIONS...RH VALUES SHOULD BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT.
   AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES SHOULD GENERALLY BE IN THE 60S...WITH A FEW
   70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. MARGINALLY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS MAY EXIST IN BIG BEND VICINITY FOR A PERIOD OF 2-4 HOURS
   DURING THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE STRONGER WINDS IN THE MTNS...COOLER
   TEMPERATURES/HIGHER RH VALUES SHOULD MITIGATE WILDFIRE THREAT AT
   HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 
   
   PASSAGE OF STRONGER UPPER FLOW BY 02/00Z AND ONSET OF COLD ADVECTION
   WITH NLY WIND SHIFT OVERNIGHT SHOULD IMPROVE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   MARKEDLY BY LATE EVENING ACROSS ENTIRE REGION. MARGINAL/SHORT
   DURATION OF FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL PRECLUDE ISSUANCE OF A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 02/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 010630
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1230 AM CST SUN FEB 01 2004
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD...AREAS OF LOW SURFACE RH /AT OR BELOW 20
   PERCENT/ WILL BE CONFINED TO SWRN/FAR WRN TX AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF
   CENTRAL/SRN NM AND AZ. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE STRONG UPPER
   TROUGH SUNDAY...SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO DOMINATE ACROSS THE
   SRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST MONDAY. LINGERING COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES
   SHOULD RESULT IN HIGH TEMPERATURES MONDAY BELOW SEASONAL LEVELS
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE SWRN CONUS. ADDITIONALLY...LIGHT SURFACE WINDS
   ARE LIKELY GIVEN UPPER FLOW PATTERN AND WEAK SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE
   GRADIENTS...FURTHER MINIMIZING FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 02/01/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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