Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 030858
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0258 AM CST WED MAR 03 2004
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW ACROSS THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA EARLY THIS
   MORNING WILL TRACK E/SELY ALONG THE GULF OF CA TODAY EVENTUALLY
   REACHING NERN SONORA BY 04/12Z. MODERATELY STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
   / 60-70 KT / WILL CONTINUE ACROSS W/SW TX AND SERN NM AHEAD OF THE
   SYSTEM...INCREASING TO AROUND 80-90 KT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. A
   RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/CA WITH DRIER AND
   WARMER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE WEEK. AT THE SFC...A WARM
   FRONT ACROSS SRN/CNTRL TX WILL REMAIN STATIONARY TODAY. WIDESPREAD
   SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS/TX...WHILE MOIST NELY
   SFC WINDS ACROSS W TX AND SERN NM RESULT IN HIGH RH VALUES 
   / GENERALLY ABOVE 30-40 PERCENT / AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/03/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 030954
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0354 AM CST WED MAR 03 2004
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NM/AZ AND THE SRN PLAINS ON
   THURSDAY...AS AN UPPER STORM SYSTEM LIFTS NE FROM THE MEXICAN
   PLATEAU. THE UPPER LOW ACROSS NRN BAJA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL
   PROGRESS RAPIDLY ACROSS W TX/OK ON THURSDAY...ARRIVING IN IOWA BY
   EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. LOW LEVEL WINDS / NEAR 850 MB LEVEL / WILL
   INCREASE TO 20-40 KT ACROSS W TX ON THURSDAY...WHILE A 60 KT LOW
   LEVEL JET DEVELOPS FARTHER EAST ACROSS CNTRL/ERN TX AND ERN OK
   DURING THE AFTN. AT THE SFC...A LOW WILL DEEPEN AS IT LIFTS NE
   ACROSS OK/MO...WHILE A DRYLINE MIXES INTO W TX. A WARM FRONT WILL
   ALSO LIFT NWD...EXTENDING INTO THE MID MS/OH VALLEYS BY LATE
   THURSDAY NIGHT.
   
   ...SERN NM/W TX...
   SFC WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SW/W BEHIND A DRYLINE AS IT MIXES EAST
   THROUGH THE MORNING/AFTN. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED
   AND WILL INCREASE TO 30-35 MPH BY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   LIKELY. ALTHOUGH THE RH WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY WHEN THE DRYLINE
   MOVES EAST...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN
   20 PERCENT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 50S/60S...SO THE MAIN
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE FROM WIND. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
   BE ONGOING THURSDAY AT THE START OF THE FORECAST...AND THIS WILL
   FURTHER DECREASE THE CHANCE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   DESPITE THE FAVORABLE WIND PATTERN.
   
   ...CA...
   WRN RIDGE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF DEPARTING UPPER LOW
   PRESSURE...AND THIS WILL FAVOR INCREASING NLY SFC WINDS...ESPECIALLY
   ACROSS THE INTERIOR CA VALLEYS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL
   DEVELOP WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES
   WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/03/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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