Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040941
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0341 AM CST THU MAR 04 2004
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MAIN FIRE WEATHER CONCERN TODAY WILL BE THE VERY STRONG WINDS
   DEVELOPING ACROSS SW/W TX. EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
   THE UPPER LOW MOVING EAST ACROSS WRN SONORA. THIS FEATURE WILL
   PROGRESS TO THE TX PANHANDLE BY THIS EVENING...LIFTING RAPIDLY NE
   INTO IA BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. AS THIS OCCURS...SFC LOW PRESSURE
   NOW JUST E OF THE BIG BEND AREA...WILL DEEPEN DRAMATICALLY AS IT
   MOVES NEWD ACROSS OK. SFC WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM
   WILL ALSO LIFT NWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY BY TONIGHT AND BE A FOCUS
   FOR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A DRYLINE WILL MIX EAST
   ACROSS W TX...BRINGING VERY STRONG WINDS...WHICH WILL BE FURTHER
   ENHANCED BY THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   
   ...SW TX...
   VERY STRONG W/SW WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY ACROSS THE AREA...WITH
   SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 MPH AND GUSTS TO 45 MPH. ALTHOUGH MANY
   AREAS RECEIVED AT LEAST SOME RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...LOCATIONS IN FAR W
   TX AND THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND AREA DID NOT. MINIMUM RH
   VALUES MAY FALL AS LOW AS 25-30 PERCENT IN FAR W TX. A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER AREA WILL NOT BE ISSUED AS RH VALUES WILL BE TOO HIGH...BUT
   THE STRONG WINDS WILL INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND-DRIVEN FIRES.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/04/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040942
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0342 AM CST THU MAR 04 2004
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS NW MEXICO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE
   LOCATED ACROSS IA/IL AT THE START OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERY
   STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW / AROUND 110 KT AT 500 MB / WILL EXTEND AHEAD
   OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS ERN TX AND AR INTO MI. AT THE SFC...A COLD
   FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM LA/AR WINDING NEWD INTO THE CNTRL GREAT
   LAKES. THE FRONT WILL BE A FOCUS FOR A SQUALL LINE PUSHING THROUGH
   THE OH/TN/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEYS ON FRIDAY. MEANWHILE IN THE WEST...
   NLY JET WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS ON THE BACK SIDE OF
   THE UPPER TROUGH IN THE CNTRL CONUS. AS THIS SPEED MAX MOVES
   BY...STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS AZ/NM/TX.
   
   ...SERN NM/W TX...
   STRONG WINDS / SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH / WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS AREA
   ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL GENERALLY BE
   DRIER THAN ON THURSDAY...RANGING FROM 20-30 PERCENT. MAX
   TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 60S WITH 50S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A
   CRITICAL AREA WILL NOT BE NECESSARY DUE TO THE RELATIVELY HIGH RH
   VALUES. THE WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 03/04/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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