Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 090846
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0246 AM CST TUE MAR 09 2004
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NRN FL / SRN GA / SERN AL...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MAIN FEATURE THIS PERIOD WILL BE A STRONG UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN
   U.S...WHICH WILL MOVE TO THE E. COAST BY 12Z WED.  AT THE
   SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE SEWD OVER GA AND
   SC...BRINGING A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON STORMS.  SURFACE GRADIENTS ALONG
   WITH DRY AIR ALREADY IN PLACE WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS FROM SERN AL INTO FL.  FURTHER W...HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   EXIST OVER THE MID AND LOWER MS VALLEY REGION...WHERE RH LEVELS WILL
   BE LOW.  MDT NLY WINDS WILL BE FOUND OVER ERN OK / NERN TX.  HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NRN ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NW
   AREA...UNDERNEATH A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NRN FL / SRN GA / SERN AL...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH / GUSTY WLY WINDS
   
   A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE THIS MORNING ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING WINDS
   AND SUNSHINE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY.  AS
   LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS AND MOVES SEWD OVER GA...SURFACE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL INCREASE...AND WILL CAUSE WLY WINDS TO INCREASE FROM
   15-20 MPH.  WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS
   IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH.  MIN RH VALUES WILL BE LOWEST OVER INTERIOR N
   FL...WITH VALUES NEAR 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  COOLER
   TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST TO THE N...BUT INDICATIONS ARE THAT MIN RH
   LEVELS AROUND 30 PERCENT WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SRN GA ALONG
   WITH GUSTY WINDS.  DUE TO STRONG SUNSHINE AND MIXING...LOW LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES WILL BE STEEP...CAUSING AN UNSTABLE LOWER ATMOSPHERE. 
   CLOUDS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL FORM TO
   THE N OF THE CRITICAL AREA...AND WILL REMAIN N GENERALLY N OF THE
   FL/GA BORDER.
   
   ...SERN OK / NERN TX / WRN AR AND LA...
   AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA...NWLY WINDS BEHIND THE
   SYSTEM WILL HELP DRIVE DRY AIR SWD.  WITH THE AID OF AMPLE
   SUNSHINE...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE WELL INTO THE 60S F. RH LEVELS
   WILL RANGE FROM 20-30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON.  SUSTAINED NLY
   WILL AVERAGE 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH. RECENT
   PRECIPITATION WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER THREAT HOWEVER.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/09/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 091005
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0405 AM CST TUE MAR 09 2004
   
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN FL...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD FROM NRN CA AND INTO
   THE SWRN DESERTS BY THU MORNING.  BEHIND THIS FEATURE...WINDS ALOFT
   WILL BECOME NELY...AND WILL CAUSE STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO DEVELOP
   OVER INTERIOR NRN CA...WHILE IT REMAINS HOT AND DRY OVER THE SWRN
   DESERTS WITH LIGHTER WINDS.  FURTHER E...A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN
   OVER THE SERN U.S...WITH MODERATE WINDS AND VERY LOW RH FOR SOUTH
   FL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN FL...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RH /  MDT NWLY WINDS / DEEP MIXING LAYERS
   
   COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...UNSTABLE LOWER ATMOSPHERE...AND LOW RH
   VALUES WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER SRN FL
   DURING THE DAY ON WED. BY MIDDAY...SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS WILL
   AVERAGE 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  TEMPERATURES OF 60-70 F ALONG
   STRONG SUNSHINE WILL CAUSE MIN RH VALUES TO RANGE FROM 20-30
   PERCENT.  DEEP MIXING LAYERS WILL EXIST OVER FAR SRN FL...WITH
   DEPTHS OF 5000-6000 FT AGL.  
   
   ALTHOUGH THE ENTIRE AREA HAS EXPERIENCED DROUGHT OVER THE PAST
   WEEK...KBDI VALUES ARE ESPECIALLY HIGH OVER EXTREME S FL WHERE LOCAL
   VALUES CURRENTLY EXCEED 600.
   
   ...SACRAMENTO VALLEY...
   AS UPPER TROUGH SINKS SWD...WINDS ALOFT WILL BLOW OUT OF THE E...AND
   WILL CAUSE INCREASING DOWNSLOPE WINDS AT THE SURFACE IN THE
   SACRAMENTO VALLEY.  IT WILL BE WARM DURING THE DAYTIME...WITH HIGHS
   IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S.  MIN RH VALUES WILL AVERAGE FROM
   25-35 PERCENT IN GENERAL...BUT LOCALLY LOWER VALUES WILL BE LIKELY
   ESPECIALLY IN STRONGEST DOWNSLOPE WIND AREAS NEAR PASSES AND
   CANYONS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 03/09/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

Fire Weather/Forecast Products/Home