Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 050852
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CDT MON APR 05 2004
   
   VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE CAROLINAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD AWAY FROM THE EAST
   COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN ITS WAKE...MODERATE WINDS AND VERY LOW
   RH READINGS WILL PERSIST OVER PORTIONS OF SC AND MUCH OF NC
   PROVIDING FOR ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   ELSEWHERE IN THE SE...LOW RH READINGS WILL PERSIST BUT SUSTAINED
   WINDS LESS THAN 15 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   FARTHER WEST...AN UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER AZ AT THE START OF THE
   PERIOD WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EWD INTO THE SRN ROCKIES. LIGHT TO
   MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL AGAIN OCCUR OVER MOST OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES/SRN PLAINS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. ELSEWHERE...A SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN TIER OF STATES. A COMBINATION OF
   LOW RH READINGS AND GUSTY WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
   PRODUCE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE
   UPPER MIDWEST.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MOST OF SRN/ERN NC AND NRN SC...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WNW WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
   30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT...INCIPIENT DROUGHT
   
   A LOW LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MID
   AFTERNOON. STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW LEVELS WILL AID IN TRANSFER
   OF THE STRONGER WINDS TO THE SURFACE WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNRISE.
   ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL...READINGS IN THE 60S
    ALONG WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS TO MID 20S WILL PRODUCE
   CRITICALLY LOW RH READINGS FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT. WINDS SHOULD
   DIMINISH BY SUNSET WITH ONSET OF LOW LEVEL COOLING.
   
   ...NRN NC AND VA...
   DESPITE STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH ANTICIPATED THROUGH
   THE AFTERNOON...COOL TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND CONSEQUENT RH
   READINGS FROM 25 TO 30 PERCENT WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF THE SERN STATES...
   A VERY DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY...WITH THE ONLY
   EXCEPTION BEING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FL...WHERE NELY WINDS WILL
   ALLOW FOR INCREASING DEWPOINTS. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
   AREA...DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE 20S/30S. COMBINED WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S/70S...MIN RH READINGS WILL BE IN THE 20 TO
   30 PERCENT RANGE. DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF VERY DRY
   CONDITIONS...PROXIMITY OF THE AREA TO SFC HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER
   THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY ALONG WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
   PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS AND THE UPPER MIDWEST...
   AHEAD OF A SEWD MOVING SFC LEE TROUGH...AND ALONG A MODEST LOW LEVEL
   JET AXIS EXTENDING FROM WRN KS NEWD INTO MN...SUSTAINED SWLY WINDS
   FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING.
   WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
   30S/LOWER 40S TO PRODUCE MIN RH READINGS FROM 25 TO 35 PERCENT OR
   JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. FARTHER NW BEHIND THE LEE TROUGH...NWLY
   WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH MIN RH READINGS FROM 25 TO
   30 PERCENT OVER THE DAKOTAS/ERN MT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/05/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 050854
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0354 AM CDT MON APR 05 2004
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN PLAINS SEWD TOWARDS THE EAST
   COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE OHIO
   VALLEY/CNTRL APPALACHIANS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...MIN RH
   READINGS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO REACH CRITICAL LEVELS. FARTHER
   SE...WHERE RH READINGS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BE NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS
   FROM GA NEWD INTO SERN VA...SWLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW 15
   MPH. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
   UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE
   NRN ROCKIES AND AID IN INCREASING SLY WINDS AND NEAR CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
   
   ..FAR NERN FL...ERN GA/CAROLINAS AND VA...
   DESPITE A VERY DRY AIRMASS CONTINUING OVER THE REGION WITH MIN RH
   READINGS FROM 15 TO 25 PERCENT...SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD ONLY RANGE
   FROM 10 TO 15 MPH AS LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN WEAK
   AND STRONGER LOW-MID LEVEL WINDS REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA. THUS A
   CRITICAL FIRE THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
   SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH DURING THE
   AFTERNOON EAST OF A SFC LEE TROUGH AND AHEAD OF A MID LEVEL
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NRN ROCKIES. DRY AIR IN
   PROXIMITY TO A SFC HIGH PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS WILL
   ALLOW FOR MIN RH READINGS TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. IF LOW RH
   READINGS BECOME EVIDENT IN LATER FORECASTS THEN AREA MAY NEED TO BE
   UPGRADED.
   
   ...OHIO VALLEY...
   SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP DURING THE
   MORNING. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE INTO THE
   60S/LOWER 70S...MIN RH READINGS ARE ONLY ANTICIPATED TO FALL TO
   AROUND 35 PERCENT. THIS IS DUE TO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING
   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 04/05/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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