Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 140849
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CDT WED APR 14 2004
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME ERN SD / SWRN MN...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER LOW OVER THE SERN U.S. WILL MOVE EWD TO THE MID
   ATLANTIC COAST BY AFTERNOON...AND WILL ALLOW HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD
   IN BEHIND IT OVER THE SERN STATES WITH STRONG WINDS AND LOWERING RH
   VALUES.  MEANWHILE...AS AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE WRN
   STATES...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AND WILL
   CAUSE STRONG SLY WINDS WITH LOW RH TO OCCUR.  STRONG WINDS AND LOW
   RH WILL ALSO BE FOUND OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN WHERE RECENT
   PRECIPITATION HAS PUT A DAMPER ON THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EXTREME ERN SD / SWRN MN...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: MODERATE SELY WINDS / LOW RH / RECENT DROUGHT
   
   COMBINATION OF RECENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS...STRONG SELY WINDS AND LOW
   RH WILL BE ENOUGH FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS
   AFTERNOON.
   
   TEMPERATURES WILL WARM QUICKLY INTO THE 60S BY MIDDAY AS SLY WINDS
   INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO LOWERING PRESSURES TO THE WEST.  BY LATE
   AFTERNOON...EXPECT TEMPERATURES NEAR 70 F AND RH LEVELS TO DROP INTO
   THE 20-25 PERCENT RANGE WITH LOCALIZED AREAS INTO THE UPPER TEENS. 
   SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS WILL BE RIGHT AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25-
   30 MPH.  MIXING LAYERS WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY DEEP AT AROUND 4000
   FT AGL AND RH RECOVERY WILL BE GOOD OVERNIGHT.
   
   ...CENTRAL / NRN FL...SRN GA...SRN MS / AL...
   NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FROM CENTRAL FL NWD
   INTO SRN GA TODAY...BUT RECENT PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH MARGINAL RH
   LEVELS WILL MITIGATE WILDFIRE THREAT.
   
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST...CAUSING SUSTAINED WLY
   WINDS OF 20-30 MPH.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOL FROM NEAR 60 IN SRN
   GA TO NEAR 70 OVER CENTRAL FL...CAUSING DAYTIME MIN RH LEVELS
   BETWEEN 30-35 PERCENT. 
   
   ALTHOUGH LARGE SCALE CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
   ANTICIPATED...LOCALIZED AREAS THAT RECEIVED LITTLE PRECIP OVER THE
   LAST FEW DAYS WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST THREAT OF WILDFIRES...SUCH AS
   THE FLAGLER / VOLUSIA COUNTY AREA IN FL...AND ALSO PORTIONS OF SOUTH
   CENTRAL GA.
   
   ...SERN NV / SRN UT / NRN AZ...
   MODERATELY STRONG JET LEVEL WINDS AND SUNSHINE WILL CAUSE STRONG
   MIXING WITH SWLY WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS TO OCCUR OVER A
   BROAD AREA INCLUDING THE SRN GREAT BASIN / SRN CA / MUCH OF AZ / SRN
   UT.  RH LEVELS WILL BE LOW AS WELL AND RANGE FROM 10-15 PERCENT AS
   TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE 70S AD 80S VALLEYS AND 60S HIGHER
   ELEVATIONS.  MITIGATING FACTOR WILL CONTINUE TO BE EFFECTS OF RECENT
   PRECIPITATION.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/14/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 141016
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0516 AM CDT WED APR 14 2004
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND CENTRAL U.S. WITH
   WINDY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING OVER A VERY LARGE
   AREA...INCLUDING THE DESERT SW...CENTRAL/SRN ROCKIES AND PLAINS
   STATES.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY
   AND WILL CAUSE VERY LOW RH LEVELS FOR THE SERN STATES BUT WITH
   MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...SRN NV / UT...NRN AZ...
   A WARM AND DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION...WITH STEEP
   LAPSE RATES / UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE DURING THE DAY.  RH LEVELS WILL
   LARGELY BE IN THE TEENS AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST OUT OF THE
   SW AT 20-30 MPH.  RECENT PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO BE MITIGATING
   FACTOR...WHERE GREENUP CONDITIONS MAY BE UNDERWAY.
   
   ...SRN GA / NRN FL...
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS MAY EXIST ON THURSDAY AS RH LEVELS DROP
   WELL INTO THE 20 PERCENT RANGE AND TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOWER
   70S F. NELY WINDS AROUND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST WILL RANGE FROM
   10-15 MPH OVER MUCH OF FL...WITH LIGHTER SPEEDS FURTHER N INTO GA
   AND AL.  GIVEN THIS WILL BE SECOND CONSECUTIVE DAY FAVORING RAPID
   DRYING OF FUELS...FIRE THREAT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE.
   
   ...NRN NEBRASKA /SRN SD...
   WARM AND DRY WLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL BRING RH LEVELS DOWN INTO THE
   TEENS WITH WLY SPEEDS AROUND 20 MPH.  PORTIONS OF THIS AREA COULD BE
   UPGRADED DURING NEXT DAY 1 IF WIND SPEED FORECAST INCREASES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/14/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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