Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 070900
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CDT FRI MAY 07 2004
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STAGNANT OVERALL PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE CONUS TODAY...LARGELY
   CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER RIDGING/ZONAL FLOW AHEAD OF ERN PACIFIC UPPER
   TROUGH. SURFACE PATTERN WILL EXHIBIT LITTLE CHANGE AS WELL...WITH
   HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE SE STATES...AND QUASI-STATIONARY
   FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS.
   
   ...SE STATES...
   WARM/DRY AIRMASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION OWING TO PROXIMITY OF
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE FOR MUCH OF THE
   WEEK...RH VALUES MAY BE AROUND/BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR SEVERAL
   HOURS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AGAIN IN THE UPPER
   80S/LOWER 90S. HOWEVER LIGHT WIND SPEEDS /10 MPH OR LESS/ WILL
   REMAIN MITIGATING FACTOR FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ...GREAT BASIN...
   BREEZY CONDITIONS -- S/SW WINDS 15-25 MPH -- WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN AHEAD OF ERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH. SCENARIO
   SUPPORTED BY MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT AND 25-40 KT MID LEVEL WIND
   SPEEDS. IN SPITE OF THE GUSTY WINDS TODAY...INCREASING MID/HIGH
   CLOUD COVER WILL TEND TO LIMIT DEGREE OF INSOLATION/MIXING...LIKELY
   KEEPING RH VALUES AROUND AND/OR ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/07/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 071005
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0505 AM CDT FRI MAY 07 2004
   
   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ZONAL UPPER FLOW/RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE CONUS ON SATURDAY AS
   ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH REMAINS IN THE ERN PACIFIC. FRONTAL BOUNDARY
   WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE MID
   ATLANTIC...WITH LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE SHARPENING ACROSS THE WRN HIGH
   PLAINS.
   
   ...CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
   GUSTY S/SW WINDS -- 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS -- WILL EXIST ACROSS
   THE REGION IN VICINITY OF LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE AND MODEST DOWNSLOPE
   TRAJECTORIES. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S/LOWER
   90S...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 15-20 PERCENT -- NAMELY IN A
   CORRIDOR FROM ERN NM INTO ERN CO/WRN KS.
   
   ...SE STATES...
   WARM/DRY AIRMASS WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION WITH HIGH PRESSURE
   REMAINING IN PLACE. IT IS LIKELY RH VALUES WILL AGAIN BE
   AROUND/BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS /AWAY FROM COASTAL AREAS/ FOR A FEW
   HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
   80S/LOWER 90S. WINDS SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT /10 MPH OR LESS/ OWING
   TO HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCE AND WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/07/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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