Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 110847
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004
   
   VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR A PORTION OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS AREA...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES/FOUR CORNERS AREA INTO THE SRN/CENTRAL FRONT RANGE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE WRN CONUS
   DURING THE PERIOD...WITH STRONG WIND FIELDS ACCOMPANYING THIS
   SYSTEM. ALONG WITH LOW RH READINGS...CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE SRN/CENTRAL
   ROCKIES AND ADJACENT LOWER ELEVATIONS/PLAINS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   NATION...EXPECT MOIST AND OR COOL CONDITIONS TO PREVENT ANY CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF NWRN/NCENTRAL
   NM...NERN AZ...SRN CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
   TO 55 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT
   
   LOW-MID LEVEL SPEED MAX OF 50 KTS SAMPLED BY THE 00Z DESERT ROCK NV
   SOUNDING ON THE SERN BASE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD OVER
   THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL AID
   IN STRONG WINDS DEVELOPING OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS DURING THE MORNING
   HOURS. SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH ARE LIKELY...WITH THE
   STRONGEST WINDS IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
   AID IN LOW RH READINGS FROM 8 TO 15 PERCENT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
   OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNSET AND BEHIND A COLD
   FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO SWRN CO/NERN AZ OVERNIGHT. OVER NRN NM AND
   SCENTRAL CO/SRN CO FRONT RANGE...WINDS WILL REMAINS ABOVE 20 MPH
   OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR POOR RH RECOVERY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - FOR AREAS SURROUNDING THE
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...INCLUDING THE REMAINDER OF NRN/ERN
   AZ...MOST OF NM...FAR ERN UT AND CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS
   OVER 45 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT
   
   SLIGHTLY WEAKER WIND FIELDS WILL OCCUR OVER AREA AWAY FROM THE MID
   LEVEL JET AXIS DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WINDS
   WILL STILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH IN
   THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND THE PLAINS OF ERN CO. SEASONABLY LOW
   DEWPOINTS ALONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE MIN RH
   READINGS WELL BELOW NORMAL.WINDS WILL TURN NWLY WITH GOOD RH
   RECOVERY OVERNIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS ERN
   UT...NRN AZ AND WRN CO. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL REMAIN MODERATE OVER
   20 MPH FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR POOR RH
   RECOVERY. AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN PRECIPITATION IN THE LAST FEW
   DAYS...NAMELY THE FAR ERN PLAINS OF NM/CO WILL NOT BE INCLUDED IN
   THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/11/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 110941
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0441 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2004
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN ROCKIES AND SRN
   HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE WRN CONUS THROUGH THE
   PERIOD. BELT OF STRONGEST MID LEVEL FLOW WILL RESIDE ON THE SRN
   PORTIONS OF THE TROUGH OVER THE SRN ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS. OVER THIS
   AREA...MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH READINGS WILL AID IN CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...EITHER COOL OR
   MOIST TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN/NERN AZ...MOST OF NM...SRN
   CO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH..WITH GUSTS
   OVER 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT
   
   MID LEVEL WIND MAX WILL BE OVER NERN AZ/SRN CO AND NRN NM THROUGH
   THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND IN THE WIND FIELDS
   ARE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN DAY 1 AND DAY 2. HOWEVER...SUSTAINED WLY
   WINDS FROM 20 TO 30 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. VERY
   LOW RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE FOUND...WITH MIN VALUES LESS THAN 15
   PERCENT. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN MODERATE OVERNIGHT OVER NRN NM
   PROVIDING FOR POOR RH RECOVERY. ELSEWHERE WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO
   LESS THAN 20 MPH WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNSET.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/11/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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