Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 290720
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0220 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER IMPULSE MOVING
   ACROSS NM/AZ...WITH ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS CNTRL CA. THE CA
   SPEED MAX WILL MOVE OVER AZ/NM TODAY...RESULTING IN STRONG SFC WINDS
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST/SRN HIGH PLAINS. SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL
   DEEPEN ACROSS SD IN RESPONSE TO LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS...WITH A
   SECONDARY LOW FORMING ACROSS SE CO/W KS BY MIDDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
   EXTEND ACROSS ERN NEB/W KS/NRN NM BY 30/00Z...WITH A DRYLINE ACROSS
   WRN OK INTO W CNTRL TX.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/NM/SRN CO/W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
   / MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT / HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER
   CLASS VALUES
   
   EARLY MORNING VAD WIND PROFILER DATA/RUC ANALYSIS SUGGEST 50-55 KT
   SPEED MAX IS NEAR FRESNO CA...AND WILL BE LOCATED NEAR WINSLOW AZ BY
   29/18Z. MEANWHILE...THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT MOVE ACROSS SRN CO/NRN
   NM UNTIL MID TO LATE AFTN...SO THIS AREA WILL BE IN A WARM DRY
   AIRMASS MOST OF THE DAY. AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE...WINDS WILL SHIFT
   FROM SW TO W...WITH SLIGHTLY INCREASING RH VALUES. FOR MOST OF THE
   DAY HOWEVER...STRONG W/SWLY SFC WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL POSE THE
   MAIN FIRE WEATHER THREAT. MINIMUM RH VALUES GENERALLY WILL RANGE
   FROM 8-14 PERCENT. FARTHER EAST...THE DRYLINE WILL MIX EAST ACROSS
   THE TX PANHANDLE INTO W CNTRL TX...AND RH VALUES WILL DROP QUICKLY
   BELOW 15 PERCENT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/29/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 290811
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 AM CDT SAT MAY 29 2004
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WRN UPPER LOW OVER ID PANHANDLE SAT MORNING WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE
   WRN DAKOTAS BY THE START OF THE PERIOD. STRONG NWLY JET / 60-65 KT /
   WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN INTO THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES. A
   SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS CNTRL IA/MO/OK DURING THE DAY ON
   SUNDAY...EXTENDING INTO N CNTRL TX BY 31/00Z. SFC WINDS WILL BE
   BREEZY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID/LOWER MS RIVER
   VALLEY...BUT DEWPOINTS WILL ALSO BE IN THE 60S/70S WITH HIGH RH
   VALUES.
   
   ...SOUTHWEST...
   THE NEXT SPEED MAX WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SUNDAY...AND
   BREEZY SFC WINDS ACROSS MAINLY NRN AZ/NRN NM ARE LIKELY. SUSTAINED
   WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS ON SAT. IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA WILL BE NECESSARY DUE TO COOLER TEMPS AND
   LIGHTER WINDS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/29/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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