Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 300951
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0451 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004
   
   VALID 301200Z - 311200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/W TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL MOVE INTO
   THE UPPER MIDWEST TODAY...WITH A 60-70 KT SPEED MAX EXTENDING FROM
   OREGON INTO NRN NM BY TONIGHT. COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM WRN OK/CNTRL
   KS/NE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE RED
   RIVER BY 31/00Z...WHILE THE WHOLE SYSTEM PROGRESSES EAST INTO THE
   LOWER/MID MS RIVER VALLEY TODAY AND TONIGHT. DRYLINE IS EAST OF
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA...LEAVING NM/W TX IN A VERY DRY AIRMASS.
   ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL NOT OCCUR
   AS ON SATURDAY...SOME LOCATIONS IN ERN NM/W TX WILL HAVE STRONG SFC
   WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH VALUES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/W TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 20-25 MPH / MINIMUM RH
   VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT /
   
   ALTHOUGH WINDS ALOFT WILL BE QUITE STRONG...LAPSE RATES WILL NOT BE
   AS STEEP AS YESTERDAY...WHICH WILL REDUCE DEEP MIXING. POINT
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 600-700 MB...WITH
   WINDS AT THAT LEVEL AROUND 15-30 KT. MAX TEMPS WILL BE IN THE
   MID/UPPER 80S WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 10-15 PERCENT. VERY HIGH
   TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER DANGER CLASS VALUES WERE OBSERVED IN THIS
   AREA ON SATURDAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/30/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 300952
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0452 AM CDT SUN MAY 30 2004
   
   VALID 311200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS BY
   MONDAY...AS UPPER LOW NOW OVER NRN ROCKIES BECOMES STATIONARY ACROSS
   THE UPPER MIDWEST. BROAD ZONE OF MODERATE TO STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS
   WILL EXTEND FROM THE WEST COAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST BY
   MONDAY AFTN/EVENING. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM WRN
   OH/CNTRL TN/NRN LA ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
   DAY ON MONDAY...EVENTUALLY STALLING ACROSS SRN GA/WRN FL PANHANDLE/N
   CNTRL TX. ELSEWHERE...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
   WRN CONUS GENERALLY RESULTING IN WARMER TEMPS AND LIGHTER WINDS.
   
   ...SRN GA/N CNTRL FL...
   MID LEVEL SPEED MAX OF 60-70 KT WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE TN VALLEY BY
   MONDAY AFTN...WITH 35-50 KT FLOW OVER SRN GA/NRN FL. MINIMUM RH
   VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE 35 PERCENT...BUT SUSTAINED SFC
   WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. IN ADDITION WITH THE
   COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH...SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE.
   HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION MAY NOT MAKE IT INTO THE FL PANHANDLE OR
   EXTREME SERN GA WHERE RECENT FIRE DANGER CLASS VALUES HAVE BEEN IN
   THE HIGH OR VERY HIGH RANGE AND KBDI VALUES EXCEEDING 700. THE RH
   VALUES WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR...BUT THIS AREA WILL BE
   CONSIDERED FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA IN THE NEXT FORECAST. 
   
   ...NRN NM/SRN CO...
   THIS AREA WILL BE ON THE SRN SIDE OF THE STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW.
   SFC WINDS ON MONDAY WILL AGAIN BE BREEZY...BUT CONDITIONS MAY REMAIN
   JUST BELOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CRITERIA.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 05/30/2004
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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